Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 at 90.6%, driven by the absence of any official announcements or logistical preparations following their March 9-10 phone discussions on Ukraine peace prospects and Iran tensions. Despite Trump describing the calls as "very good" and constructive, Kremlin statements emphasize future U.S.-Russia talks only "as conditions allow," with no in-person summit scheduled amid ongoing Ukraine war stalemate, NATO ally concerns over perceived U.S. softness on Moscow, and complex security protocols for such high-level diplomacy. Prior 2025 Alaska summit required weeks of public planning; current silence underscores institutional barriers. A sudden Ukraine ceasefire breakthrough or Middle East escalation could spur a venue like Turkey or a Gulf state, but tight timelines pose significant hurdles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日6月30日までに会談なし 90.9%
湾岸諸国 1.6%
トルコ 1.3%
中国 1.0%
$4,652,877 Vol.
$4,652,877 Vol.
2026/06/30
6月30日までに会談なし
91%
湾岸諸国
2%
トルコ
1%
中国
1%
他のEU諸国
1%
アメリカ合衆国
1%
ロシア
1%
その他
1%
ベラルーシ
<1%
スイス
<1%
ウクライナ
<1%
オーストラリア
<1%
フィンランド
<1%
日本
<1%
韓国
<1%
6月30日までに会談なし 90.9%
湾岸諸国 1.6%
トルコ 1.3%
中国 1.0%
$4,652,877 Vol.
$4,652,877 Vol.
2026/06/30
6月30日までに会談なし
$770,441 Vol.
91%
湾岸諸国
$253,357 Vol.
2%
トルコ
$340,549 Vol.
1%
中国
$269,846 Vol.
1%
他のEU諸国
$914,547 Vol.
1%
アメリカ合衆国
$185,673 Vol.
1%
ロシア
$621,775 Vol.
1%
その他
$388,165 Vol.
1%
ベラルーシ
$249,274 Vol.
<1%
スイス
$136,632 Vol.
<1%
ウクライナ
$134,667 Vol.
<1%
オーストラリア
$89,074 Vol.
<1%
フィンランド
$72,855 Vol.
<1%
日本
$109,198 Vol.
<1%
韓国
$117,498 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 at 90.6%, driven by the absence of any official announcements or logistical preparations following their March 9-10 phone discussions on Ukraine peace prospects and Iran tensions. Despite Trump describing the calls as "very good" and constructive, Kremlin statements emphasize future U.S.-Russia talks only "as conditions allow," with no in-person summit scheduled amid ongoing Ukraine war stalemate, NATO ally concerns over perceived U.S. softness on Moscow, and complex security protocols for such high-level diplomacy. Prior 2025 Alaska summit required weeks of public planning; current silence underscores institutional barriers. A sudden Ukraine ceasefire breakthrough or Middle East escalation could spur a venue like Turkey or a Gulf state, but tight timelines pose significant hurdles.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
音量
$4,652,877終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 at 90.6%, driven by the absence of any official announcements or logistical preparations following their March 9-10 phone discussions on Ukraine peace prospects and Iran tensions. Despite Trump describing the calls as "very good" and constructive, Kremlin statements emphasize future U.S.-Russia talks only "as conditions allow," with no in-person summit scheduled amid ongoing Ukraine war stalemate, NATO ally concerns over perceived U.S. softness on Moscow, and complex security protocols for such high-level diplomacy. Prior 2025 Alaska summit required weeks of public planning; current silence underscores institutional barriers. A sudden Ukraine ceasefire breakthrough or Middle East escalation could spur a venue like Turkey or a Gulf state, but tight timelines pose significant hurdles.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$4,652,877終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 at 90.6%, driven by the absence of any official announcements or logistical preparations following their March 9-10 phone discussions on Ukraine peace prospects and Iran tensions. Despite Trump describing the calls as "very good" and constructive, Kremlin statements emphasize future U.S.-Russia talks only "as conditions allow," with no in-person summit scheduled amid ongoing Ukraine war stalemate, NATO ally concerns over perceived U.S. softness on Moscow, and complex security protocols for such high-level diplomacy. Prior 2025 Alaska summit required weeks of public planning; current silence underscores institutional barriers. A sudden Ukraine ceasefire breakthrough or Middle East escalation could spur a venue like Turkey or a Gulf state, but tight timelines pose significant hurdles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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