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政治·議会

米国議会議員は4月30日までにエプスタインのファイルを提出しますか？

Market icon
政治·議会

米国議会議員は4月30日までにエプスタインのファイルを提出しますか？

はい

10% chance
Polymarket
NEW

はい

10% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any sitting member of the United States Congress resigns or is removed from their congressional seat and the cause of their departure is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government during this market’s timeframe. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify. An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward. Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no U.S. Congress member resigning or being forced out over Epstein files by April 30, reflecting the absence of direct, actionable evidence implicating sitting House or Senate members despite recent DOJ releases of millions of documents in February 2026. Congressional scrutiny intensified with House Oversight Committee briefings, including Democrats walking out of AG Pam Bondi's March 18 session demanding under-oath testimony and subpoena compliance for an April 14 deposition. While lists of prominent "politically exposed persons" were sent to Judiciary leaders and figures like former President Clinton testified, no verified links have triggered resignations among current lawmakers, amid partisan pushes for transparency under the Epstein Files Transparency Act. Late-breaking revelations or victim testimonies could still shift dynamics before the deadline.

Trader consensus heavily favors no U.S. Congress member resigning or being forced out over Epstein files by April 30, reflecting the absence of direct, actionable evidence implicating sitting House or Senate members despite recent DOJ releases of millions of documents in February 2026. Congressional scrutiny intensified with House Oversight Committee briefings, including Democrats walking out of AG Pam Bondi's March 18 session demanding under-oath testimony and subpoena compliance for an April 14 deposition. While lists of prominent "politically exposed persons" were sent to Judiciary leaders and figures like former President Clinton testified, no verified links have triggered resignations among current lawmakers, amid partisan pushes for transparency under the Epstein Files Transparency Act. Late-breaking revelations or victim testimonies could still shift dynamics before the deadline.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any sitting member of the United States Congress resigns or is removed from their congressional seat and the cause of their departure is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government during this market’s timeframe. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify. An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward. Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no U.S. Congress member resigning or being forced out over Epstein files by April 30, reflecting the absence of direct, actionable evidence implicating sitting House or Senate members despite recent DOJ releases of millions of documents in February 2026. Congressional scrutiny intensified with House Oversight Committee briefings, including Democrats walking out of AG Pam Bondi's March 18 session demanding under-oath testimony and subpoena compliance for an April 14 deposition. While lists of prominent "politically exposed persons" were sent to Judiciary leaders and figures like former President Clinton testified, no verified links have triggered resignations among current lawmakers, amid partisan pushes for transparency under the Epstein Files Transparency Act. Late-breaking revelations or victim testimonies could still shift dynamics before the deadline.

Trader consensus heavily favors no U.S. Congress member resigning or being forced out over Epstein files by April 30, reflecting the absence of direct, actionable evidence implicating sitting House or Senate members despite recent DOJ releases of millions of documents in February 2026. Congressional scrutiny intensified with House Oversight Committee briefings, including Democrats walking out of AG Pam Bondi's March 18 session demanding under-oath testimony and subpoena compliance for an April 14 deposition. While lists of prominent "politically exposed persons" were sent to Judiciary leaders and figures like former President Clinton testified, no verified links have triggered resignations among current lawmakers, amid partisan pushes for transparency under the Epstein Files Transparency Act. Late-breaking revelations or victim testimonies could still shift dynamics before the deadline.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「米国議会議員は4月30日までにエプスタインのファイルを提出しますか？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「4月30日までにエプスタイン関連の資料で米国議会議員が辞職？」で12%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、12¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に12%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「米国議会議員は4月30日までにエプスタインのファイルを提出しますか？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Nov 20, 2025開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「米国議会議員は4月30日までにエプスタインのファイルを提出しますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「米国議会議員は4月30日までにエプスタインのファイルを提出しますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「4月30日までにエプスタイン関連の資料で米国議会議員が辞職？」で12%であり、市場がこの結果に12%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「米国議会議員は4月30日までにエプスタインのファイルを提出しますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。