Trader consensus on Polymarket prices U.K. annual CPI inflation for 2026 above 4% as the frontrunner at 40.5%, narrowly ahead of the 4.0–4.4% band at 34.5%, reflecting uncertainty over persistent pressures amid Middle East conflict-driven energy price surges. February 2026 CPI held steady at 3.0% year-over-year, with core measures ticking up to 3.2%, underscoring sticky services inflation and wage dynamics that have prompted the Bank of England to unanimously hold Bank Rate at 3.75% on March 19—citing higher-than-expected inflation paths. Key differentiators include the war's impact on oil and gas costs, potentially pushing year-end readings toward 4.5%+ if prolonged, versus moderation if tensions ease; watch March CPI on April 22 and May FOMC for resolution signals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日2.0～2.4％ 26%
2.5〜2.9％ 23%
3.5～3.9％ 18%
1.0%未満 7%
新規
新規
2027/01/20
1.0%未満
7%
1.0～1.4％
6%
1.5～1.9％
21%
2.0～2.4％
26%
2.5〜2.9％
23%
3.5～3.9％
15%
4.0〜4.4％
35%
4.5％以上
41%
2.0～2.4％ 26%
2.5〜2.9％ 23%
3.5～3.9％ 18%
1.0%未満 7%
新規
新規
2027/01/20
1.0%未満
$559 Vol.
7%
1.0～1.4％
$0 Vol.
6%
1.5～1.9％
$448 Vol.
21%
2.0～2.4％
$267 Vol.
26%
2.5〜2.9％
$350 Vol.
23%
3.5～3.9％
$221 Vol.
15%
4.0〜4.4％
$0 Vol.
35%
4.5％以上
$243 Vol.
41%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarTrader consensus on Polymarket prices U.K. annual CPI inflation for 2026 above 4% as the frontrunner at 40.5%, narrowly ahead of the 4.0–4.4% band at 34.5%, reflecting uncertainty over persistent pressures amid Middle East conflict-driven energy price surges. February 2026 CPI held steady at 3.0% year-over-year, with core measures ticking up to 3.2%, underscoring sticky services inflation and wage dynamics that have prompted the Bank of England to unanimously hold Bank Rate at 3.75% on March 19—citing higher-than-expected inflation paths. Key differentiators include the war's impact on oil and gas costs, potentially pushing year-end readings toward 4.5%+ if prolonged, versus moderation if tensions ease; watch March CPI on April 22 and May FOMC for resolution signals.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
マーケット開始日： Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
音量
$2,088終了日
2027/01/20マーケット開始日
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarTrader consensus on Polymarket prices U.K. annual CPI inflation for 2026 above 4% as the frontrunner at 40.5%, narrowly ahead of the 4.0–4.4% band at 34.5%, reflecting uncertainty over persistent pressures amid Middle East conflict-driven energy price surges. February 2026 CPI held steady at 3.0% year-over-year, with core measures ticking up to 3.2%, underscoring sticky services inflation and wage dynamics that have prompted the Bank of England to unanimously hold Bank Rate at 3.75% on March 19—citing higher-than-expected inflation paths. Key differentiators include the war's impact on oil and gas costs, potentially pushing year-end readings toward 4.5%+ if prolonged, versus moderation if tensions ease; watch March CPI on April 22 and May FOMC for resolution signals.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
音量
$2,088終了日
2027/01/20マーケット開始日
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices U.K. annual CPI inflation for 2026 above 4% as the frontrunner at 40.5%, narrowly ahead of the 4.0–4.4% band at 34.5%, reflecting uncertainty over persistent pressures amid Middle East conflict-driven energy price surges. February 2026 CPI held steady at 3.0% year-over-year, with core measures ticking up to 3.2%, underscoring sticky services inflation and wage dynamics that have prompted the Bank of England to unanimously hold Bank Rate at 3.75% on March 19—citing higher-than-expected inflation paths. Key differentiators include the war's impact on oil and gas costs, potentially pushing year-end readings toward 4.5%+ if prolonged, versus moderation if tensions ease; watch March CPI on April 22 and May FOMC for resolution signals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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