Canada's federal Immigration Levels Plan for 2026-2028 has sharply reduced new temporary resident arrivals to 385,000 this year, down from prior peaks near 674,000, while stabilizing permanent resident admissions at 380,000. This policy shift, aimed at easing housing and infrastructure pressures by lowering the non-permanent resident share below 5 percent by late 2027, has produced net outflows of temporary workers and international students. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections from February 2026 forecast zero overall population growth for the year as these outflows offset permanent inflows, following the first recorded annual decline in 2025 per Statistics Canada data. Traders pricing "Down" at 61 percent appear to weigh the ongoing adjustment and potential for further quarterly contractions against any offsetting permanent gains or data revisions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日増加
新規
新規
2027/04/30
増加
新規
新規
2027/04/30
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada's federal Immigration Levels Plan for 2026-2028 has sharply reduced new temporary resident arrivals to 385,000 this year, down from prior peaks near 674,000, while stabilizing permanent resident admissions at 380,000. This policy shift, aimed at easing housing and infrastructure pressures by lowering the non-permanent resident share below 5 percent by late 2027, has produced net outflows of temporary workers and international students. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections from February 2026 forecast zero overall population growth for the year as these outflows offset permanent inflows, following the first recorded annual decline in 2025 per Statistics Canada data. Traders pricing "Down" at 61 percent appear to weigh the ongoing adjustment and potential for further quarterly contractions against any offsetting permanent gains or data revisions.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
音量
$1,488終了日
2027/04/30マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada's federal Immigration Levels Plan for 2026-2028 has sharply reduced new temporary resident arrivals to 385,000 this year, down from prior peaks near 674,000, while stabilizing permanent resident admissions at 380,000. This policy shift, aimed at easing housing and infrastructure pressures by lowering the non-permanent resident share below 5 percent by late 2027, has produced net outflows of temporary workers and international students. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections from February 2026 forecast zero overall population growth for the year as these outflows offset permanent inflows, following the first recorded annual decline in 2025 per Statistics Canada data. Traders pricing "Down" at 61 percent appear to weigh the ongoing adjustment and potential for further quarterly contractions against any offsetting permanent gains or data revisions.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$1,488終了日
2027/04/30マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Canada's federal Immigration Levels Plan for 2026-2028 has sharply reduced new temporary resident arrivals to 385,000 this year, down from prior peaks near 674,000, while stabilizing permanent resident admissions at 380,000. This policy shift, aimed at easing housing and infrastructure pressures by lowering the non-permanent resident share below 5 percent by late 2027, has produced net outflows of temporary workers and international students. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections from February 2026 forecast zero overall population growth for the year as these outflows offset permanent inflows, following the first recorded annual decline in 2025 per Statistics Canada data. Traders pricing "Down" at 61 percent appear to weigh the ongoing adjustment and potential for further quarterly contractions against any offsetting permanent gains or data revisions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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