Texas Democratic U.S. Senate primary turnout exceeded 2 million votes, per certified results from the Secretary of State, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 99.4% for the 2.0M+ bucket. Record participation—fueled by early voting surpassing 1 million Democrats, robust mobilization for frontrunner Colin Allred's challenge to Ted Cruz, and statewide enthusiasm in the March 5 contest—marked the highest Democratic primary turnout ever. Allred's outright victory above 58% avoided a runoff. Realistic challenges appear negligible post-certification, though minor audits or recounts could trim margins slightly without altering the outcome. Traders reflect this stability via skin-in-the-game pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日200万人以上 99.4%
100万～125万 <1%
100万人未満 <1%
125万～150万 <1%
$17,735 Vol.
$17,735 Vol.
Mar 3, 2026
100万人未満
<1%
100万～125万
1%
125万～150万
<1%
150万〜175万
<1%
175万〜200万
<1%
200万人以上
99%
200万人以上 99.4%
100万～125万 <1%
100万人未満 <1%
125万～150万 <1%
$17,735 Vol.
$17,735 Vol.
Mar 3, 2026
100万人未満
$0 Vol.
<1%
100万～125万
$0 Vol.
1%
125万～150万
$0 Vol.
<1%
150万〜175万
$0 Vol.
<1%
175万〜200万
$0 Vol.
<1%
200万人以上
$17,735 Vol.
99%
Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.
This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.
This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.
This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.
This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.
This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.
This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.
This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.
This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日： Feb 4, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
音量
$17,735終了日
Mar 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 4, 2026, 1:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.
This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.
This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.
This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.
This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.
This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.
This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$17,735終了日
Mar 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 4, 2026, 1:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas Democratic U.S. Senate primary turnout exceeded 2 million votes, per certified results from the Secretary of State, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 99.4% for the 2.0M+ bucket. Record participation—fueled by early voting surpassing 1 million Democrats, robust mobilization for frontrunner Colin Allred's challenge to Ted Cruz, and statewide enthusiasm in the March 5 contest—marked the highest Democratic primary turnout ever. Allred's outright victory above 58% avoided a runoff. Realistic challenges appear negligible post-certification, though minor audits or recounts could trim margins slightly without altering the outcome. Traders reflect this stability via skin-in-the-game pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問