$62,519 Vol.
$62,519 Vol.
May 1, 2025
On February 3, Trump announced that “Tariffs announced on Saturday will be paused for a 30 day period” (see: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/113942189236610107)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general tariff on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect for any amount of time between February 3, and May 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended.
A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect.
Only tariffs specifically targeting Canada will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
On February 3, Trump announced that “Tariffs announced on Saturday will be paused for a 30 day period” (see: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/113942189236610107)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general tariff on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect for any amount of time between February 3, and May 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended.
A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect.
Only tariffs specifically targeting Canada will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general tariff on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect for any amount of time between February 3, and May 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended.
A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect.
Only tariffs specifically targeting Canada will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
作成日： Feb 3, 2025, 6:17 PM ET
音量
$62,519終了日
May 1, 2025作成日時
Feb 3, 2025, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
$62,519 Vol.
$62,519 Vol.
May 1, 2025
On February 3, Trump announced that “Tariffs announced on Saturday will be paused for a 30 day period” (see: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/113942189236610107)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general tariff on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect for any amount of time between February 3, and May 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended.
A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect.
Only tariffs specifically targeting Canada will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
On February 3, Trump announced that “Tariffs announced on Saturday will be paused for a 30 day period” (see: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/113942189236610107)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general tariff on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect for any amount of time between February 3, and May 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended.
A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect.
Only tariffs specifically targeting Canada will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general tariff on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect for any amount of time between February 3, and May 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended.
A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect.
Only tariffs specifically targeting Canada will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
音量
$62,519終了日
May 1, 2025作成日時
Feb 3, 2025, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
Frequently Asked Questions
"Trump tariffs on Canada in effect by May 1?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Trump tariffs on Canada in effect by May 1?" has generated $62.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 3, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Trump tariffs on Canada in effect by May 1?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current probability for "Trump tariffs on Canada in effect by May 1?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.
The resolution rules for "Trump tariffs on Canada in effect by May 1?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
Frequently Asked Questions