Market icon

トランプ氏、パウエル氏の捜査を… ？

Market icon

トランプ氏、パウエル氏の捜査を… ？

NEW
Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$3,220 Vol.

Polymarket

April 30

$1,860 Vol.

59%

6月30日

$1,361 Vol.

62%

Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell). This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting. Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify. If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal judge's March 13 ruling quashing Department of Justice subpoenas has stalled the Trump administration's criminal probe into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over alleged cost overruns in the Fed's $2.5 billion headquarters renovation, prompting a DOJ appeal on March 16. Critics, including Powell, frame the inquiry as pressure to force interest rate cuts, threatening Fed independence, while President Trump has defended the investigators as showing "courage" and insisted it proceed. The standoff delays Senate confirmation of Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh as successor, as a key Republican senator vows a hold until the probe ends, ahead of Powell's chair term expiration in May. Powell intends to retain his Fed governor seat until fully cleared, heightening trader focus on potential executive action or judicial developments.

A federal judge's March 13 ruling quashing Department of Justice subpoenas has stalled the Trump administration's criminal probe into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over alleged cost overruns in the Fed's $2.5 billion headquarters renovation, prompting a DOJ appeal on March 16. Critics, including Powell, frame the inquiry as pressure to force interest rate cuts, threatening Fed independence, while President Trump has defended the investigators as showing "courage" and insisted it proceed. The standoff delays Senate confirmation of Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh as successor, as a key Republican senator vows a hold until the probe ends, ahead of Powell's chair term expiration in May. Powell intends to retain his Fed governor seat until fully cleared, heightening trader focus on potential executive action or judicial developments.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell). This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting. Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify. If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal judge's March 13 ruling quashing Department of Justice subpoenas has stalled the Trump administration's criminal probe into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over alleged cost overruns in the Fed's $2.5 billion headquarters renovation, prompting a DOJ appeal on March 16. Critics, including Powell, frame the inquiry as pressure to force interest rate cuts, threatening Fed independence, while President Trump has defended the investigators as showing "courage" and insisted it proceed. The standoff delays Senate confirmation of Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh as successor, as a key Republican senator vows a hold until the probe ends, ahead of Powell's chair term expiration in May. Powell intends to retain his Fed governor seat until fully cleared, heightening trader focus on potential executive action or judicial developments.

A federal judge's March 13 ruling quashing Department of Justice subpoenas has stalled the Trump administration's criminal probe into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over alleged cost overruns in the Fed's $2.5 billion headquarters renovation, prompting a DOJ appeal on March 16. Critics, including Powell, frame the inquiry as pressure to force interest rate cuts, threatening Fed independence, while President Trump has defended the investigators as showing "courage" and insisted it proceed. The standoff delays Senate confirmation of Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh as successor, as a key Republican senator vows a hold until the probe ends, ahead of Powell's chair term expiration in May. Powell intends to retain his Fed governor seat until fully cleared, heightening trader focus on potential executive action or judicial developments.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「トランプ氏、パウエル氏の捜査を… ？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「6月30日」で62%、次いで「April 30」が59%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、62¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に62%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「トランプ氏、パウエル氏の捜査を… ？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Mar 27, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「トランプ氏、パウエル氏の捜査を… ？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「トランプ氏、パウエル氏の捜査を… ？」の現在のフロントランナーは「6月30日」で62%であり、市場がこの結果に62%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「April 30」で59%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トランプ氏、パウエル氏の捜査を… ？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。