Spain's minority Socialist government under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez is poised to lose a critical budget vote on Wednesday, as Catalan pro-independence parties—key to passing legislation—demand talks on self-determination, which the administration rejects as unconstitutional blackmail. Government sources report plans to announce a snap election immediately after the defeat, likely for April 14 or 28, to rally left-leaning voters against right-of-center opposition polling over 30% combined while Socialists hover around 30%. Dissolution of the Cortes Generales requires the King's approval on Sánchez's proposal, making him the frontrunner to trigger it amid stalled coalition support. Traders eye the vote outcome and potential last-minute pacts, with no-confidence motions from PP leader Feijóo or Vox's Abascal as lower-probability alternatives.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$132,634 Vol.
2025/12/31
2026年6月30日
8%
$132,634 Vol.
2026年6月30日
$39,136 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's minority Socialist government under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez is poised to lose a critical budget vote on Wednesday, as Catalan pro-independence parties—key to passing legislation—demand talks on self-determination, which the administration rejects as unconstitutional blackmail. Government sources report plans to announce a snap election immediately after the defeat, likely for April 14 or 28, to rally left-leaning voters against right-of-center opposition polling over 30% combined while Socialists hover around 30%. Dissolution of the Cortes Generales requires the King's approval on Sánchez's proposal, making him the frontrunner to trigger it amid stalled coalition support. Traders eye the vote outcome and potential last-minute pacts, with no-confidence motions from PP leader Feijóo or Vox's Abascal as lower-probability alternatives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Oct 22, 2025, 11:43 AM ET
音量
$132,634終了日
2025/12/31マーケット開始日
Oct 22, 2025, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's minority Socialist government under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez is poised to lose a critical budget vote on Wednesday, as Catalan pro-independence parties—key to passing legislation—demand talks on self-determination, which the administration rejects as unconstitutional blackmail. Government sources report plans to announce a snap election immediately after the defeat, likely for April 14 or 28, to rally left-leaning voters against right-of-center opposition polling over 30% combined while Socialists hover around 30%. Dissolution of the Cortes Generales requires the King's approval on Sánchez's proposal, making him the frontrunner to trigger it amid stalled coalition support. Traders eye the vote outcome and potential last-minute pacts, with no-confidence motions from PP leader Feijóo or Vox's Abascal as lower-probability alternatives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$132,634終了日
2025/12/31マーケット開始日
Oct 22, 2025, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Spain's minority Socialist government under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez is poised to lose a critical budget vote on Wednesday, as Catalan pro-independence parties—key to passing legislation—demand talks on self-determination, which the administration rejects as unconstitutional blackmail. Government sources report plans to announce a snap election immediately after the defeat, likely for April 14 or 28, to rally left-leaning voters against right-of-center opposition polling over 30% combined while Socialists hover around 30%. Dissolution of the Cortes Generales requires the King's approval on Sánchez's proposal, making him the frontrunner to trigger it amid stalled coalition support. Traders eye the vote outcome and potential last-minute pacts, with no-confidence motions from PP leader Feijóo or Vox's Abascal as lower-probability alternatives.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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