France's minority government under Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu has stabilized following its survival of two no-confidence votes in January 2026 and passage of the 2026 budget via Article 49.3, easing immediate pressure for President Emmanuel Macron to dissolve the National Assembly despite the ongoing hung parliament from the 2024 snap elections. Trader consensus prices a snap legislative election date declaration by June 30, 2026, at just 3%, reflecting barriers like Macron's reluctance after the prior dissolution empowered far-left and far-right blocs without yielding a majority, alongside opposition reluctance to trigger polls amid National Rally gains in March 2026 municipal elections. Upcoming fiscal disputes or coalition breakdowns could shift dynamics, but current calm favors continuity through Macron's term end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$1,054,727 Vol.
2026/06/30
2026年6月30日
5%
$1,054,727 Vol.
2026年6月30日
$73,094 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
France's minority government under Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu has stabilized following its survival of two no-confidence votes in January 2026 and passage of the 2026 budget via Article 49.3, easing immediate pressure for President Emmanuel Macron to dissolve the National Assembly despite the ongoing hung parliament from the 2024 snap elections. Trader consensus prices a snap legislative election date declaration by June 30, 2026, at just 3%, reflecting barriers like Macron's reluctance after the prior dissolution empowered far-left and far-right blocs without yielding a majority, alongside opposition reluctance to trigger polls amid National Rally gains in March 2026 municipal elections. Upcoming fiscal disputes or coalition breakdowns could shift dynamics, but current calm favors continuity through Macron's term end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ET
音量
$1,054,727終了日
2025/12/31マーケット開始日
Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
France's minority government under Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu has stabilized following its survival of two no-confidence votes in January 2026 and passage of the 2026 budget via Article 49.3, easing immediate pressure for President Emmanuel Macron to dissolve the National Assembly despite the ongoing hung parliament from the 2024 snap elections. Trader consensus prices a snap legislative election date declaration by June 30, 2026, at just 3%, reflecting barriers like Macron's reluctance after the prior dissolution empowered far-left and far-right blocs without yielding a majority, alongside opposition reluctance to trigger polls amid National Rally gains in March 2026 municipal elections. Upcoming fiscal disputes or coalition breakdowns could shift dynamics, but current calm favors continuity through Macron's term end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$1,054,727終了日
2025/12/31マーケット開始日
Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...France's minority government under Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu has stabilized following its survival of two no-confidence votes in January 2026 and passage of the 2026 budget via Article 49.3, easing immediate pressure for President Emmanuel Macron to dissolve the National Assembly despite the ongoing hung parliament from the 2024 snap elections. Trader consensus prices a snap legislative election date declaration by June 30, 2026, at just 3%, reflecting barriers like Macron's reluctance after the prior dissolution empowered far-left and far-right blocs without yielding a majority, alongside opposition reluctance to trigger polls amid National Rally gains in March 2026 municipal elections. Upcoming fiscal disputes or coalition breakdowns could shift dynamics, but current calm favors continuity through Macron's term end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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