France's ongoing political instability stems from the hung parliament following 2024 snap legislative elections, producing no majority and toppling successive minority governments under Michel Barnier, François Bayrou, and brief first Lecornu administration before Sébastien Lecornu's reappointment in October 2025. Prime Minister Lecornu recently rammed through the 2026 budget and survived January no-confidence votes but faces persistent opposition threats over fiscal policy. President Macron holds sole authority to dissolve the National Assembly for snap elections—possible after the one-year cooldown from 2024—amid hints of readiness if foes destabilize further. March 2026 local elections showed far-right Rassemblement National gains in small towns but urban blocks, alongside polls placing its figures ahead for 2027 presidential; traders eye upcoming parliamentary battles, coalition talks, and dissolution signals ahead of 2029 scheduled vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$1,054,738 Vol.
2026/06/30
2026年6月30日
6%
$1,054,738 Vol.
2026年6月30日
$73,104 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
France's ongoing political instability stems from the hung parliament following 2024 snap legislative elections, producing no majority and toppling successive minority governments under Michel Barnier, François Bayrou, and brief first Lecornu administration before Sébastien Lecornu's reappointment in October 2025. Prime Minister Lecornu recently rammed through the 2026 budget and survived January no-confidence votes but faces persistent opposition threats over fiscal policy. President Macron holds sole authority to dissolve the National Assembly for snap elections—possible after the one-year cooldown from 2024—amid hints of readiness if foes destabilize further. March 2026 local elections showed far-right Rassemblement National gains in small towns but urban blocks, alongside polls placing its figures ahead for 2027 presidential; traders eye upcoming parliamentary battles, coalition talks, and dissolution signals ahead of 2029 scheduled vote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ET
音量
$1,054,738終了日
2025/12/31マーケット開始日
Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
France's ongoing political instability stems from the hung parliament following 2024 snap legislative elections, producing no majority and toppling successive minority governments under Michel Barnier, François Bayrou, and brief first Lecornu administration before Sébastien Lecornu's reappointment in October 2025. Prime Minister Lecornu recently rammed through the 2026 budget and survived January no-confidence votes but faces persistent opposition threats over fiscal policy. President Macron holds sole authority to dissolve the National Assembly for snap elections—possible after the one-year cooldown from 2024—amid hints of readiness if foes destabilize further. March 2026 local elections showed far-right Rassemblement National gains in small towns but urban blocks, alongside polls placing its figures ahead for 2027 presidential; traders eye upcoming parliamentary battles, coalition talks, and dissolution signals ahead of 2029 scheduled vote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$1,054,738終了日
2025/12/31マーケット開始日
Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...France's ongoing political instability stems from the hung parliament following 2024 snap legislative elections, producing no majority and toppling successive minority governments under Michel Barnier, François Bayrou, and brief first Lecornu administration before Sébastien Lecornu's reappointment in October 2025. Prime Minister Lecornu recently rammed through the 2026 budget and survived January no-confidence votes but faces persistent opposition threats over fiscal policy. President Macron holds sole authority to dissolve the National Assembly for snap elections—possible after the one-year cooldown from 2024—amid hints of readiness if foes destabilize further. March 2026 local elections showed far-right Rassemblement National gains in small towns but urban blocks, alongside polls placing its figures ahead for 2027 presidential; traders eye upcoming parliamentary battles, coalition talks, and dissolution signals ahead of 2029 scheduled vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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