French President Emmanuel Macron continues serving his second term, set to end in May 2027 due to term limits, despite persistent political gridlock from the 2024 snap legislative elections that produced a hung National Assembly. Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu's minority government survived multiple no-confidence votes in January and February 2026 over the contentious budget passage via Article 49.3, stabilizing the executive amid far-left and far-right opposition. Recent diplomatic clashes with U.S. President Trump over Iran policy, the Strait of Hormuz, and NATO commitments have drawn public attention but not triggered domestic crises. Protests demand Macron's resignation, yet no impeachment or snap election appears imminent before mid-2026, underscoring trader consensus on his likely tenure through key fiscal deadlines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$1,894,284 Vol.
2026/06/30
2026年6月30日
3%
$1,894,284 Vol.
2026年6月30日
$302,440 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.French President Emmanuel Macron continues serving his second term, set to end in May 2027 due to term limits, despite persistent political gridlock from the 2024 snap legislative elections that produced a hung National Assembly. Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu's minority government survived multiple no-confidence votes in January and February 2026 over the contentious budget passage via Article 49.3, stabilizing the executive amid far-left and far-right opposition. Recent diplomatic clashes with U.S. President Trump over Iran policy, the Strait of Hormuz, and NATO commitments have drawn public attention but not triggered domestic crises. Protests demand Macron's resignation, yet no impeachment or snap election appears imminent before mid-2026, underscoring trader consensus on his likely tenure through key fiscal deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ET
音量
$1,894,284終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.French President Emmanuel Macron continues serving his second term, set to end in May 2027 due to term limits, despite persistent political gridlock from the 2024 snap legislative elections that produced a hung National Assembly. Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu's minority government survived multiple no-confidence votes in January and February 2026 over the contentious budget passage via Article 49.3, stabilizing the executive amid far-left and far-right opposition. Recent diplomatic clashes with U.S. President Trump over Iran policy, the Strait of Hormuz, and NATO commitments have drawn public attention but not triggered domestic crises. Protests demand Macron's resignation, yet no impeachment or snap election appears imminent before mid-2026, underscoring trader consensus on his likely tenure through key fiscal deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$1,894,284終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...French President Emmanuel Macron continues serving his second term, set to end in May 2027 due to term limits, despite persistent political gridlock from the 2024 snap legislative elections that produced a hung National Assembly. Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu's minority government survived multiple no-confidence votes in January and February 2026 over the contentious budget passage via Article 49.3, stabilizing the executive amid far-left and far-right opposition. Recent diplomatic clashes with U.S. President Trump over Iran policy, the Strait of Hormuz, and NATO commitments have drawn public attention but not triggered domestic crises. Protests demand Macron's resignation, yet no impeachment or snap election appears imminent before mid-2026, underscoring trader consensus on his likely tenure through key fiscal deadlines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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