France faces prolonged political instability following President Emmanuel Macron’s 2024 snap legislative elections, which produced a hung National Assembly and three-way bloc split. Multiple prime ministers, including Michel Barnier, François Bayrou, and Sébastien Lecornu, have been ousted via no-confidence votes or resigned amid budget disputes and coalition failures, with Lecornu reappointed in October 2025 after a brief exit. Macron has repeatedly stated he will serve until his term ends in 2027, rejecting calls for early resignation from figures such as former prime minister Édouard Philippe. These developments underpin trader consensus reflected in current market pricing that Macron is unlikely to depart office before mid-2026, absent a major parliamentary shift or constitutional trigger.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$2,000,655 Vol.
2026/06/30
2026年6月30日
1%
$2,000,655 Vol.
2026年6月30日
$408,810 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.France faces prolonged political instability following President Emmanuel Macron’s 2024 snap legislative elections, which produced a hung National Assembly and three-way bloc split. Multiple prime ministers, including Michel Barnier, François Bayrou, and Sébastien Lecornu, have been ousted via no-confidence votes or resigned amid budget disputes and coalition failures, with Lecornu reappointed in October 2025 after a brief exit. Macron has repeatedly stated he will serve until his term ends in 2027, rejecting calls for early resignation from figures such as former prime minister Édouard Philippe. These developments underpin trader consensus reflected in current market pricing that Macron is unlikely to depart office before mid-2026, absent a major parliamentary shift or constitutional trigger.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ET
音量
$2,000,655終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.France faces prolonged political instability following President Emmanuel Macron’s 2024 snap legislative elections, which produced a hung National Assembly and three-way bloc split. Multiple prime ministers, including Michel Barnier, François Bayrou, and Sébastien Lecornu, have been ousted via no-confidence votes or resigned amid budget disputes and coalition failures, with Lecornu reappointed in October 2025 after a brief exit. Macron has repeatedly stated he will serve until his term ends in 2027, rejecting calls for early resignation from figures such as former prime minister Édouard Philippe. These developments underpin trader consensus reflected in current market pricing that Macron is unlikely to depart office before mid-2026, absent a major parliamentary shift or constitutional trigger.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$2,000,655終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...France faces prolonged political instability following President Emmanuel Macron’s 2024 snap legislative elections, which produced a hung National Assembly and three-way bloc split. Multiple prime ministers, including Michel Barnier, François Bayrou, and Sébastien Lecornu, have been ousted via no-confidence votes or resigned amid budget disputes and coalition failures, with Lecornu reappointed in October 2025 after a brief exit. Macron has repeatedly stated he will serve until his term ends in 2027, rejecting calls for early resignation from figures such as former prime minister Édouard Philippe. These developments underpin trader consensus reflected in current market pricing that Macron is unlikely to depart office before mid-2026, absent a major parliamentary shift or constitutional trigger.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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