French President Emmanuel Macron, serving his second and final term until May 2027, reaffirmed on April 24, 2026, that he intends to complete his mandate and exit politics entirely afterward, countering speculation amid chronic government instability. A fragmented National Assembly from 2024 snap legislative elections has triggered repeated no-confidence votes and prime ministerial reshuffles—most recently survived in January and February 2026 when the 2026 budget passed—but these do not directly threaten the presidency under the Fifth Republic's structure. Absent voluntary resignation, incapacity, or extraordinary circumstances, structural barriers limit early departure; trader consensus weighs low approval ratings and rising far-right momentum ahead of the 2027 presidential election as key risks, with no fresh catalysts in the past 30 days.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1,956,740 Vol.
2026/06/30
2026年6月30日
1%
$1,956,740 Vol.
2026年6月30日
$364,896 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.French President Emmanuel Macron, serving his second and final term until May 2027, reaffirmed on April 24, 2026, that he intends to complete his mandate and exit politics entirely afterward, countering speculation amid chronic government instability. A fragmented National Assembly from 2024 snap legislative elections has triggered repeated no-confidence votes and prime ministerial reshuffles—most recently survived in January and February 2026 when the 2026 budget passed—but these do not directly threaten the presidency under the Fifth Republic's structure. Absent voluntary resignation, incapacity, or extraordinary circumstances, structural barriers limit early departure; trader consensus weighs low approval ratings and rising far-right momentum ahead of the 2027 presidential election as key risks, with no fresh catalysts in the past 30 days.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ET
音量
$1,956,740終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.French President Emmanuel Macron, serving his second and final term until May 2027, reaffirmed on April 24, 2026, that he intends to complete his mandate and exit politics entirely afterward, countering speculation amid chronic government instability. A fragmented National Assembly from 2024 snap legislative elections has triggered repeated no-confidence votes and prime ministerial reshuffles—most recently survived in January and February 2026 when the 2026 budget passed—but these do not directly threaten the presidency under the Fifth Republic's structure. Absent voluntary resignation, incapacity, or extraordinary circumstances, structural barriers limit early departure; trader consensus weighs low approval ratings and rising far-right momentum ahead of the 2027 presidential election as key risks, with no fresh catalysts in the past 30 days.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$1,956,740終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...French President Emmanuel Macron, serving his second and final term until May 2027, reaffirmed on April 24, 2026, that he intends to complete his mandate and exit politics entirely afterward, countering speculation amid chronic government instability. A fragmented National Assembly from 2024 snap legislative elections has triggered repeated no-confidence votes and prime ministerial reshuffles—most recently survived in January and February 2026 when the 2026 budget passed—but these do not directly threaten the presidency under the Fifth Republic's structure. Absent voluntary resignation, incapacity, or extraordinary circumstances, structural barriers limit early departure; trader consensus weighs low approval ratings and rising far-right momentum ahead of the 2027 presidential election as key risks, with no fresh catalysts in the past 30 days.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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