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icon for イーロン・マスクが2026年8月にツイートしましたか?

イーロン・マスクが2026年8月にツイートしましたか?

icon for イーロン・マスクが2026年8月にツイートしましたか?

イーロン・マスクが2026年8月にツイートしましたか?

880-919 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$726,617 Vol.

880-919 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$726,617 Vol.

<20

$1,836 Vol.

No

20-39

$803 Vol.

No

40-59

$994 Vol.

No

60-79

$725 Vol.

No

80-99

$725 Vol.

No

100-119

$794 Vol.

No

120-139

$775 Vol.

No

140-159

$814 Vol.

No

160-179

$814 Vol.

No

180-199

$437 Vol.

No

200-219

$317 Vol.

No

220-239

$169 Vol.

No

240-259

$169 Vol.

No

260-279

$169 Vol.

No

280-299

$169 Vol.

No

300-319

$169 Vol.

No

320-339

$169 Vol.

No

340-359

$169 Vol.

No

360-379

$169 Vol.

No

380-399

$429 Vol.

No

400-419

$435 Vol.

No

420-439

$5,043 Vol.

No

440-459

$3,637 Vol.

No

460-479

$7,034 Vol.

No

480-499

$13,764 Vol.

No

500-519

$8,390 Vol.

No

520-539

$15,482 Vol.

No

540-559

$12,404 Vol.

No

560-579

$14,392 Vol.

No

580-599

$15,937 Vol.

No

600-619

$15,093 Vol.

No

620-639

$11,809 Vol.

No

640-659

$6,874 Vol.

No

660-679

$6,147 Vol.

No

680-699

$8,201 Vol.

No

700-719

$11,524 Vol.

No

720-739

$13,351 Vol.

No

740-759

$14,069 Vol.

No

760-779

$28,291 Vol.

No

780-799

$36,058 Vol.

No

800-839

$97,040 Vol.

No

840-879

$183,591 Vol.

No

880-919

$65,847 Vol.

Yes

920-959

$50,443 Vol.

No

960-999

$38,870 Vol.

No

1000+

$32,075 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have converged on the 880-919 range for Elon Musk’s August 2026 X activity because his established daily cadence held steady without major spikes or drop-offs. Consistent commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and broader tech topics produced a predictable volume that aligned with historical averages of roughly 28–30 posts per day once replies were excluded. No late-month political firestorms, product launches, or viral threads pushed totals into higher brackets, allowing the market to price the outcome near certainty. An upset would require an unforeseen surge from breaking news, a high-profile personal announcement, or extended engagement in contested threads during the final days.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$726,617
終了日
2026/09/01
マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

結算ソース

https://x.com/elonmusk

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have converged on the 880-919 range for Elon Musk’s August 2026 X activity because his established daily cadence held steady without major spikes or drop-offs. Consistent commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and broader tech topics produced a predictable volume that aligned with historical averages of roughly 28–30 posts per day once replies were excluded. No late-month political firestorms, product launches, or viral threads pushed totals into higher brackets, allowing the market to price the outcome near certainty. An upset would require an unforeseen surge from breaking news, a high-profile personal announcement, or extended engagement in contested threads during the final days.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$726,617
終了日
2026/09/01
マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

結算ソース

https://x.com/elonmusk

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「イーロン・マスクが2026年8月にツイートしましたか?」はPolymarket上の46+個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「880-919」で100%、次いで「<20」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「イーロン・マスクが2026年8月にツイートしましたか?」は$726.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jul 24, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「イーロン・マスクが2026年8月にツイートしましたか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている46+個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「イーロン・マスクが2026年8月にツイートしましたか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「880-919」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「<20」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イーロン・マスクが2026年8月にツイートしましたか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。