Recent reports indicate SpaceX is poised to file its IPO prospectus as early as this week, targeting a valuation exceeding $1.5 trillion amid surging Starlink satellite internet demand and Starship reusable rocket milestones, positioning the 1.5T-2.0T outcome as the market-implied frontrunner at 51.5% trader consensus. Private tender offers valued the company at $800 billion late last year, but rapid expansion of the Starlink constellation to over 9,500 satellites and operational successes have fueled optimism for a $75 billion-plus raise, with the adjacent 2.0T-2.5T bracket at 23.5% reflecting potential upside from Mars colonization ambitions. Low odds on no IPO before 2028 (3%) underscore expectations for a mid-2026 debut, though Elon Musk's timeline flexibility and volatile space sector dynamics introduce resolution risks ahead of any SEC review.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$1.870T
1.5T-2.0T 52%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 6.3%
$1,274,485 Vol.
$1,274,485 Vol.
<1.0T
2%
1.0T-1.5T
10%
1.5T-2.0T
52%
2.0T-2.5T
24%
2.5T-3.0T
6%
3.0T-3.5T
3%
3.5兆ドル以上
3%
No IPO before 2028
3%
1.5T-2.0T 52%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 6.3%
$1,274,485 Vol.
$1,274,485 Vol.
<1.0T
$10,843 Vol.
2%
1.0T-1.5T
$7,302 Vol.
10%
1.5T-2.0T
$9,463 Vol.
52%
2.0T-2.5T
$9,089 Vol.
24%
2.5T-3.0T
$585,224 Vol.
6%
3.0T-3.5T
$430,833 Vol.
3%
3.5兆ドル以上
$9,932 Vol.
3%
No IPO before 2028
$211,887 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent reports indicate SpaceX is poised to file its IPO prospectus as early as this week, targeting a valuation exceeding $1.5 trillion amid surging Starlink satellite internet demand and Starship reusable rocket milestones, positioning the 1.5T-2.0T outcome as the market-implied frontrunner at 51.5% trader consensus. Private tender offers valued the company at $800 billion late last year, but rapid expansion of the Starlink constellation to over 9,500 satellites and operational successes have fueled optimism for a $75 billion-plus raise, with the adjacent 2.0T-2.5T bracket at 23.5% reflecting potential upside from Mars colonization ambitions. Low odds on no IPO before 2028 (3%) underscore expectations for a mid-2026 debut, though Elon Musk's timeline flexibility and volatile space sector dynamics introduce resolution risks ahead of any SEC review.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
音量
$1,274,485マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent reports indicate SpaceX is poised to file its IPO prospectus as early as this week, targeting a valuation exceeding $1.5 trillion amid surging Starlink satellite internet demand and Starship reusable rocket milestones, positioning the 1.5T-2.0T outcome as the market-implied frontrunner at 51.5% trader consensus. Private tender offers valued the company at $800 billion late last year, but rapid expansion of the Starlink constellation to over 9,500 satellites and operational successes have fueled optimism for a $75 billion-plus raise, with the adjacent 2.0T-2.5T bracket at 23.5% reflecting potential upside from Mars colonization ambitions. Low odds on no IPO before 2028 (3%) underscore expectations for a mid-2026 debut, though Elon Musk's timeline flexibility and volatile space sector dynamics introduce resolution risks ahead of any SEC review.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$1,274,485マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent reports indicate SpaceX is poised to file its IPO prospectus as early as this week, targeting a valuation exceeding $1.5 trillion amid surging Starlink satellite internet demand and Starship reusable rocket milestones, positioning the 1.5T-2.0T outcome as the market-implied frontrunner at 51.5% trader consensus. Private tender offers valued the company at $800 billion late last year, but rapid expansion of the Starlink constellation to over 9,500 satellites and operational successes have fueled optimism for a $75 billion-plus raise, with the adjacent 2.0T-2.5T bracket at 23.5% reflecting potential upside from Mars colonization ambitions. Low odds on no IPO before 2028 (3%) underscore expectations for a mid-2026 debut, though Elon Musk's timeline flexibility and volatile space sector dynamics introduce resolution risks ahead of any SEC review.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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