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エコノミー·韓国

2026年第1四半期の韓国のGDP成長率は？

Market icon
エコノミー·韓国

2026年第1四半期の韓国のGDP成長率は？

Apr 23

Apr 23

2.0～2.4％ 31%

1.0～1.4％ 19.7%

2.5％以上 15%

0％未満 4.3%

Polymarket
NEW

2.0～2.4％ 31%

1.0～1.4％ 19.7%

2.5％以上 15%

0％未満 4.3%

Polymarket
NEW

0％未満

$0 Vol.

15%

0.0～0.4％

$0 Vol.

3%

0.5〜0.9％

$0 Vol.

32%

1.0～1.4％

$0 Vol.

20%

1.5〜1.9％

$267 Vol.

33%

2.0～2.4％

$0 Vol.

25%

2.5％以上

$6,175 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the first quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the first quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on April 23, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10 The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01Polymarket traders price South Korea's Q1 2026 GDP growth as a tight contest, with 0.5–0.9% and 1.5–1.9% each at 32.5% implied probability, reflecting robust semiconductor exports offsetting persistent construction weakness and subdued private consumption. January exports surged 34% year-over-year, February 29%, and March's first 20 days 50.4%, fueling AI-driven chip demand and lifting manufacturing PMI to 51.1 in February amid output gains. However, January industrial production fell 1.3% month-on-month, echoing Q4 2025's -0.3% QoQ contraction from domestic drags. Bank of Korea's 2.0% full-year 2026 forecast and steady 2.5% policy rate underscore recovery potential, but OECD's recent 1.7% cut highlights risks; Q1 advance data due soon could resolve sentiment.

Polymarket traders price South Korea's Q1 2026 GDP growth as a tight contest, with 0.5–0.9% and 1.5–1.9% each at 32.5% implied probability, reflecting robust semiconductor exports offsetting persistent construction weakness and subdued private consumption. January exports surged 34% year-over-year, February 29%, and March's first 20 days 50.4%, fueling AI-driven chip demand and lifting manufacturing PMI to 51.1 in February amid output gains. However, January industrial production fell 1.3% month-on-month, echoing Q4 2025's -0.3% QoQ contraction from domestic drags. Bank of Korea's 2.0% full-year 2026 forecast and steady 2.5% policy rate underscore recovery potential, but OECD's recent 1.7% cut highlights risks; Q1 advance data due soon could resolve sentiment.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the first quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the first quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on April 23, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10 The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01Polymarket traders price South Korea's Q1 2026 GDP growth as a tight contest, with 0.5–0.9% and 1.5–1.9% each at 32.5% implied probability, reflecting robust semiconductor exports offsetting persistent construction weakness and subdued private consumption. January exports surged 34% year-over-year, February 29%, and March's first 20 days 50.4%, fueling AI-driven chip demand and lifting manufacturing PMI to 51.1 in February amid output gains. However, January industrial production fell 1.3% month-on-month, echoing Q4 2025's -0.3% QoQ contraction from domestic drags. Bank of Korea's 2.0% full-year 2026 forecast and steady 2.5% policy rate underscore recovery potential, but OECD's recent 1.7% cut highlights risks; Q1 advance data due soon could resolve sentiment.

Polymarket traders price South Korea's Q1 2026 GDP growth as a tight contest, with 0.5–0.9% and 1.5–1.9% each at 32.5% implied probability, reflecting robust semiconductor exports offsetting persistent construction weakness and subdued private consumption. January exports surged 34% year-over-year, February 29%, and March's first 20 days 50.4%, fueling AI-driven chip demand and lifting manufacturing PMI to 51.1 in February amid output gains. However, January industrial production fell 1.3% month-on-month, echoing Q4 2025's -0.3% QoQ contraction from domestic drags. Bank of Korea's 2.0% full-year 2026 forecast and steady 2.5% policy rate underscore recovery potential, but OECD's recent 1.7% cut highlights risks; Q1 advance data due soon could resolve sentiment.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「2026年第1四半期の韓国のGDP成長率は？」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「0.5〜0.9％」で33%、次いで「1.5〜1.9％」が33%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、33¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に33%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「2026年第1四半期の韓国のGDP成長率は？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Jan 29, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「2026年第1四半期の韓国のGDP成長率は？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「2026年第1四半期の韓国のGDP成長率は？」の現在のフロントランナーは「0.5〜0.9％」で33%であり、市場がこの結果に33%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「1.5〜1.9％」で33%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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