Trader consensus heavily favors 17-17.5 million TSA checkpoint passengers screened from April 13-19 at 82%, driven by official data through April 16 totaling 9.64 million—anchored by a peak 2.74 million on April 16 amid tail-end spring break surges, offset by midweek dips like 2.04 million on April 14. Recent releases confirm sustained high volumes averaging 2.41 million daily so far, projecting 7.4-7.9 million more over April 17-19 based on historical weekend patterns and year-over-year trends showing modest declines. Partial government shutdown strains on TSA staffing have lengthened security lines but failed to suppress throughput, keeping higher buckets like 17.5-18 million viable at 20.5% amid uncertainty in final weekend flows.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日17-17.5m 93%
16.5-17m 18.1%
17.5-18m 10%
<16.5m 1.8%
$10,187 Vol.
$10,187 Vol.
<16.5m
2%
16.5-17m
18%
17-17.5m
82%
17.5-18m
25%
18-18.5m
1%
>18.5m
<1%
17-17.5m 93%
16.5-17m 18.1%
17.5-18m 10%
<16.5m 1.8%
$10,187 Vol.
$10,187 Vol.
<16.5m
2%
16.5-17m
18%
17-17.5m
82%
17.5-18m
25%
18-18.5m
1%
>18.5m
<1%
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from April 13, 2026 to April 19, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
マーケット開始日: Apr 10, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from April 13, 2026 to April 19, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 17-17.5 million TSA checkpoint passengers screened from April 13-19 at 82%, driven by official data through April 16 totaling 9.64 million—anchored by a peak 2.74 million on April 16 amid tail-end spring break surges, offset by midweek dips like 2.04 million on April 14. Recent releases confirm sustained high volumes averaging 2.41 million daily so far, projecting 7.4-7.9 million more over April 17-19 based on historical weekend patterns and year-over-year trends showing modest declines. Partial government shutdown strains on TSA staffing have lengthened security lines but failed to suppress throughput, keeping higher buckets like 17.5-18 million viable at 20.5% amid uncertainty in final weekend flows.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問