Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 77.5% for the May market, reflecting the absence of triggering events amid stabilized geopolitical tensions. Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's April 30 statement signaling calmer management of the Strait of Hormuz, amid a US blockade and stalled ceasefire talks, has eased fears of an imminent US-Iran permanent peace deal or leadership change in Iran. The Senate's recent rejection of Democrats' sixth war powers resolution paused the 60-day hostilities clock, diminishing near-term escalation risks. WTI crude oil holds steady near $95, well below the $150 threshold, while prospects for US military action against Cuba, alien disclosures, or Russian invasion of a NATO country remain remote without new catalysts. No major summits, votes, or primaries loom before May 31 resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日何もない
新規
$17,621 Vol.
新規
$17,621 Vol.
2026/05/31
何もない
新規
$17,621 Vol.
新規
$17,621 Vol.
2026/05/31
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 77.5% for the May market, reflecting the absence of triggering events amid stabilized geopolitical tensions. Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's April 30 statement signaling calmer management of the Strait of Hormuz, amid a US blockade and stalled ceasefire talks, has eased fears of an imminent US-Iran permanent peace deal or leadership change in Iran. The Senate's recent rejection of Democrats' sixth war powers resolution paused the 60-day hostilities clock, diminishing near-term escalation risks. WTI crude oil holds steady near $95, well below the $150 threshold, while prospects for US military action against Cuba, alien disclosures, or Russian invasion of a NATO country remain remote without new catalysts. No major summits, votes, or primaries loom before May 31 resolution.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
マーケット開始日： Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
音量
$17,621終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 77.5% for the May market, reflecting the absence of triggering events amid stabilized geopolitical tensions. Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's April 30 statement signaling calmer management of the Strait of Hormuz, amid a US blockade and stalled ceasefire talks, has eased fears of an imminent US-Iran permanent peace deal or leadership change in Iran. The Senate's recent rejection of Democrats' sixth war powers resolution paused the 60-day hostilities clock, diminishing near-term escalation risks. WTI crude oil holds steady near $95, well below the $150 threshold, while prospects for US military action against Cuba, alien disclosures, or Russian invasion of a NATO country remain remote without new catalysts. No major summits, votes, or primaries loom before May 31 resolution.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
音量
$17,621終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 77.5% for the May market, reflecting the absence of triggering events amid stabilized geopolitical tensions. Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's April 30 statement signaling calmer management of the Strait of Hormuz, amid a US blockade and stalled ceasefire talks, has eased fears of an imminent US-Iran permanent peace deal or leadership change in Iran. The Senate's recent rejection of Democrats' sixth war powers resolution paused the 60-day hostilities clock, diminishing near-term escalation risks. WTI crude oil holds steady near $95, well below the $150 threshold, while prospects for US military action against Cuba, alien disclosures, or Russian invasion of a NATO country remain remote without new catalysts. No major summits, votes, or primaries loom before May 31 resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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