Trader consensus prices a 70% implied probability on "Nothing" for April, reflecting the absence of any triggering events through April 10 despite heightened US-Iran tensions. President Trump's April 9 criticism of NATO allies for declining involvement in the ongoing US-Israel war against Iran has strained transatlantic relations but falls short of criteria like US forces entering Iran or Strait of Hormuz traffic normalizing. WTI crude remains below $200, no Federal Reserve rate changes have occurred ahead of the late-April FOMC meeting, and no military action against Cuba or Epstein-related jailings have materialized. With three weeks left, traders weigh low odds of these specific escalations amid diplomatic posturing and oil market stability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Nothing
新規
新規
2026/04/30
Nothing
新規
新規
2026/04/30
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_APRIL_2.pdfTrader consensus prices a 70% implied probability on "Nothing" for April, reflecting the absence of any triggering events through April 10 despite heightened US-Iran tensions. President Trump's April 9 criticism of NATO allies for declining involvement in the ongoing US-Israel war against Iran has strained transatlantic relations but falls short of criteria like US forces entering Iran or Strait of Hormuz traffic normalizing. WTI crude remains below $200, no Federal Reserve rate changes have occurred ahead of the late-April FOMC meeting, and no military action against Cuba or Epstein-related jailings have materialized. With three weeks left, traders weigh low odds of these specific escalations amid diplomatic posturing and oil market stability.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_APRIL_2.pdf
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_APRIL_2.pdf
マーケット開始日： Apr 7, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
音量
$7,544終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_APRIL_2.pdfTrader consensus prices a 70% implied probability on "Nothing" for April, reflecting the absence of any triggering events through April 10 despite heightened US-Iran tensions. President Trump's April 9 criticism of NATO allies for declining involvement in the ongoing US-Israel war against Iran has strained transatlantic relations but falls short of criteria like US forces entering Iran or Strait of Hormuz traffic normalizing. WTI crude remains below $200, no Federal Reserve rate changes have occurred ahead of the late-April FOMC meeting, and no military action against Cuba or Epstein-related jailings have materialized. With three weeks left, traders weigh low odds of these specific escalations amid diplomatic posturing and oil market stability.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_APRIL_2.pdf
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_APRIL_2.pdf
音量
$7,544終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a 70% implied probability on "Nothing" for April, reflecting the absence of any triggering events through April 10 despite heightened US-Iran tensions. President Trump's April 9 criticism of NATO allies for declining involvement in the ongoing US-Israel war against Iran has strained transatlantic relations but falls short of criteria like US forces entering Iran or Strait of Hormuz traffic normalizing. WTI crude remains below $200, no Federal Reserve rate changes have occurred ahead of the late-April FOMC meeting, and no military action against Cuba or Epstein-related jailings have materialized. With three weeks left, traders weigh low odds of these specific escalations amid diplomatic posturing and oil market stability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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