Market icon

Alpha Arena AI trading competition winner?

Alibaba 100.0%

xAI <1%

Anthropic <1%

DeepSeek <1%

Polymarket

$1,006,646 Vol.

This market will resolve according to the AI model listed below that shows the highest account value on the NOF1.ai leaderboard (https://nof1.ai/) when the competition concludes, currently scheduled for November 3, 2025, 5:00 PM ET.

Results from the leaderboard displayed on https://nof1.ai/, showing the total account value for each model, will be used to resolve this market.

Any AI model whose total account value equals zero before the check time will be considered eliminated and may resolve “No” immediately.

If two or more models are tied for the highest account value at the time of resolution, the tiebreaker will be determined first by the higher Win Rate. If a tie still remains, resolution will be based on the alphabetical order of the models’ company names as listed.

If the leaderboard is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard becomes available and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If the leaderboard becomes permanently unavailable, or if the competition does not finish, this market will resolve based on the latest reliable reports available.
音量
$1,006,646
終了日
Nov 3, 2025
作成日時
Oct 20, 2025, 10:35 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the AI model listed below that shows the highest account value on the NOF1.ai leaderboard (https://nof1.ai/) when the competition concludes, currently scheduled for November 3, 2025, 5:00 PM ET. Results from the leaderboard displayed on https://nof1.ai/, showing the total account value for each model, will be used to resolve this market. Any AI model whose total account value equals zero before the check time will be considered eliminated and may resolve “No” immediately. If two or more models are tied for the highest account value at the time of resolution, the tiebreaker will be determined first by the higher Win Rate. If a tie still remains, resolution will be based on the alphabetical order of the models’ company names as listed. If the leaderboard is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard becomes available and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If the leaderboard becomes permanently unavailable, or if the competition does not finish, this market will resolve based on the latest reliable reports available.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Alpha Arena AI trading competition winner?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alibaba" at 100%, followed by "xAI" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Alpha Arena AI trading competition winner?" has generated $1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 20, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Alpha Arena AI trading competition winner?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Alpha Arena AI trading competition winner?" is "Alibaba" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "xAI" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Alpha Arena AI trading competition winner?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Alpha Arena AI trading competition winner?

Alibaba 100.0%

xAI <1%

Anthropic <1%

DeepSeek <1%

Polymarket

$1,006,646 Vol.

Market icon

xAI

$186,649 Vol.

No

Market icon

Alibaba

$230,734 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Anthropic

$103,547 Vol.

No

Market icon

DeepSeek

$347,810 Vol.

No

Market icon

Google

$74,198 Vol.

No

Market icon

OpenAI

$63,709 Vol.

No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Alpha Arena AI trading competition winner?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alibaba" at 100%, followed by "xAI" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Alpha Arena AI trading competition winner?" has generated $1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 20, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Alpha Arena AI trading competition winner?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Alpha Arena AI trading competition winner?" is "Alibaba" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "xAI" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Alpha Arena AI trading competition winner?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.