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ニコラ・サルコジが3月31日までに刑務所に？

Market icon

ニコラ・サルコジが3月31日までに刑務所に？

Mar 31

Mar 31

はい

<1% chance
Polymarket

$57,992 Vol.

はい

<1% chance
Polymarket

$57,992 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolas Sarkozy is confined in a jail or prison for any length of time between November 10, 2025, 1:30 PM ET, and March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". House arrest will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the detaining government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders' near-unanimous 99.8% consensus on "No" stems from former French President Nicolas Sarkozy's ongoing freedom under judicial supervision, following his brief 20-day incarceration in late 2025 for the Libya criminal conspiracy conviction. His March 2026 appeal hearings in that case continue until June, with no verdict expected before autumn, delaying any enforcement. In the separate Bygmalion illegal campaign financing affair, a March 9 court ruling rejected merging sentences, and Sarkozy opted not to appeal, accepting a six-month firm term likely served via electronic bracelet given his age and prior aménagée arrangements. With just days left, no procedural steps mandate physical prison entry by March 31 absent an extraordinary, immediate incarceration order.

Traders' near-unanimous 99.8% consensus on "No" stems from former French President Nicolas Sarkozy's ongoing freedom under judicial supervision, following his brief 20-day incarceration in late 2025 for the Libya criminal conspiracy conviction. His March 2026 appeal hearings in that case continue until June, with no verdict expected before autumn, delaying any enforcement. In the separate Bygmalion illegal campaign financing affair, a March 9 court ruling rejected merging sentences, and Sarkozy opted not to appeal, accepting a six-month firm term likely served via electronic bracelet given his age and prior aménagée arrangements. With just days left, no procedural steps mandate physical prison entry by March 31 absent an extraordinary, immediate incarceration order.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolas Sarkozy is confined in a jail or prison for any length of time between November 10, 2025, 1:30 PM ET, and March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". House arrest will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the detaining government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders' near-unanimous 99.8% consensus on "No" stems from former French President Nicolas Sarkozy's ongoing freedom under judicial supervision, following his brief 20-day incarceration in late 2025 for the Libya criminal conspiracy conviction. His March 2026 appeal hearings in that case continue until June, with no verdict expected before autumn, delaying any enforcement. In the separate Bygmalion illegal campaign financing affair, a March 9 court ruling rejected merging sentences, and Sarkozy opted not to appeal, accepting a six-month firm term likely served via electronic bracelet given his age and prior aménagée arrangements. With just days left, no procedural steps mandate physical prison entry by March 31 absent an extraordinary, immediate incarceration order.

Traders' near-unanimous 99.8% consensus on "No" stems from former French President Nicolas Sarkozy's ongoing freedom under judicial supervision, following his brief 20-day incarceration in late 2025 for the Libya criminal conspiracy conviction. His March 2026 appeal hearings in that case continue until June, with no verdict expected before autumn, delaying any enforcement. In the separate Bygmalion illegal campaign financing affair, a March 9 court ruling rejected merging sentences, and Sarkozy opted not to appeal, accepting a six-month firm term likely served via electronic bracelet given his age and prior aménagée arrangements. With just days left, no procedural steps mandate physical prison entry by March 31 absent an extraordinary, immediate incarceration order.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「ニコラ・サルコジが3月31日までに刑務所に？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ニコラ・サルコジは3月31日までに刑務所に入るのか？」で0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、0¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に0%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ニコラ・サルコジが3月31日までに刑務所に？」は$58Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 10, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ニコラ・サルコジが3月31日までに刑務所に？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「ニコラ・サルコジが3月31日までに刑務所に？」の現在のリーダーは「ニコラ・サルコジは3月31日までに刑務所に入るのか？」でわずか0%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ニコラ・サルコジが3月31日までに刑務所に？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。