Trader consensus on Polymarket prices IUML securing 19–21 seats at 43% as the leading outcome in the 140-seat Kerala Legislative Assembly, up from 15 in 2021, reflecting recent UDF seat-sharing where IUML contests 27 constituencies, mainly Malabar strongholds reliant on minority voter consolidation. Mid-March candidate announcements introduced 11 youth faces and two women in LDF bastions, with minor dissent over selections like Randathani quickly resolved, signaling internal unity. IANS-Matrize and other March opinion polls project a knife-edge UDF-LDF contest (UDF 58–69 seats), fueled by anti-incumbency against the incumbent Left government, boosting IUML's path to mid-20s while lower brackets account for NDA inroads or turnout risks ahead of April polling.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日19〜21 43%
16〜18 29%
22以上 23%
13〜15 19%
NEW
NEW
Apr 9, 2026
10未満
11%
10〜12
7%
13〜15
19%
16〜18
29%
19〜21
43%
22以上
23%
19〜21 43%
16〜18 29%
22以上 23%
13〜15 19%
NEW
NEW
Apr 9, 2026
10未満
$147 Vol.
11%
10〜12
$0 Vol.
7%
13〜15
$0 Vol.
19%
16〜18
$0 Vol.
29%
19〜21
$0 Vol.
43%
22以上
$0 Vol.
23%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices IUML securing 19–21 seats at 43% as the leading outcome in the 140-seat Kerala Legislative Assembly, up from 15 in 2021, reflecting recent UDF seat-sharing where IUML contests 27 constituencies, mainly Malabar strongholds reliant on minority voter consolidation. Mid-March candidate announcements introduced 11 youth faces and two women in LDF bastions, with minor dissent over selections like Randathani quickly resolved, signaling internal unity. IANS-Matrize and other March opinion polls project a knife-edge UDF-LDF contest (UDF 58–69 seats), fueled by anti-incumbency against the incumbent Left government, boosting IUML's path to mid-20s while lower brackets account for NDA inroads or turnout risks ahead of April polling.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
マーケット開始日： Dec 23, 2025, 4:15 PM ET
音量
$147終了日
Apr 9, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 23, 2025, 4:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices IUML securing 19–21 seats at 43% as the leading outcome in the 140-seat Kerala Legislative Assembly, up from 15 in 2021, reflecting recent UDF seat-sharing where IUML contests 27 constituencies, mainly Malabar strongholds reliant on minority voter consolidation. Mid-March candidate announcements introduced 11 youth faces and two women in LDF bastions, with minor dissent over selections like Randathani quickly resolved, signaling internal unity. IANS-Matrize and other March opinion polls project a knife-edge UDF-LDF contest (UDF 58–69 seats), fueled by anti-incumbency against the incumbent Left government, boosting IUML's path to mid-20s while lower brackets account for NDA inroads or turnout risks ahead of April polling.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
音量
$147終了日
Apr 9, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 23, 2025, 4:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices IUML securing 19–21 seats at 43% as the leading outcome in the 140-seat Kerala Legislative Assembly, up from 15 in 2021, reflecting recent UDF seat-sharing where IUML contests 27 constituencies, mainly Malabar strongholds reliant on minority voter consolidation. Mid-March candidate announcements introduced 11 youth faces and two women in LDF bastions, with minor dissent over selections like Randathani quickly resolved, signaling internal unity. IANS-Matrize and other March opinion polls project a knife-edge UDF-LDF contest (UDF 58–69 seats), fueled by anti-incumbency against the incumbent Left government, boosting IUML's path to mid-20s while lower brackets account for NDA inroads or turnout risks ahead of April polling.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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