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次のケララ州議会選挙で、IUMLは何議席を獲得しますか?

Market icon

次のケララ州議会選挙で、IUMLは何議席を獲得しますか?

19〜21 43%

16〜18 30%

22以上 23%

13〜15 22%

Polymarket
NEW

19〜21 43%

16〜18 30%

22以上 23%

13〜15 22%

Polymarket
NEW

10未満

$147 Vol.

11%

10〜12

$0 Vol.

8%

13〜15

$0 Vol.

22%

16〜18

$0 Vol.

30%

19〜21

$0 Vol.

43%

22以上

$0 Vol.

23%

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala. If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Trader consensus favors the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) securing 19–21 seats at 42.5% implied probability in the April 9, 2026, Kerala Legislative Assembly election, up from 15 in 2021, driven by United Democratic Front (UDF) momentum amid anti-incumbency against the incumbent Left Democratic Front (LDF). Recent opinion polls like IANS-Matrize project a tight UDF-LDF race (UDF 58–69 seats vs. LDF 61–71), bolstering IUML's prospects on its 27 allocated seats in Muslim-stronghold constituencies. IUML MP E.T. Mohammed Basheer predicted a UDF "thumping majority" yesterday, while the party fielded two women candidates for the first time and faced minor backlash from Samastha leaders over general-seat nominations. With campaigning intensifying, turnout in key battlegrounds could tip outcomes in this closely contested 140-seat assembly.

Trader consensus favors the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) securing 19–21 seats at 42.5% implied probability in the April 9, 2026, Kerala Legislative Assembly election, up from 15 in 2021, driven by United Democratic Front (UDF) momentum amid anti-incumbency against the incumbent Left Democratic Front (LDF). Recent opinion polls like IANS-Matrize project a tight UDF-LDF race (UDF 58–69 seats vs. LDF 61–71), bolstering IUML's prospects on its 27 allocated seats in Muslim-stronghold constituencies. IUML MP E.T. Mohammed Basheer predicted a UDF "thumping majority" yesterday, while the party fielded two women candidates for the first time and faced minor backlash from Samastha leaders over general-seat nominations. With campaigning intensifying, turnout in key battlegrounds could tip outcomes in this closely contested 140-seat assembly.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala. If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Trader consensus favors the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) securing 19–21 seats at 42.5% implied probability in the April 9, 2026, Kerala Legislative Assembly election, up from 15 in 2021, driven by United Democratic Front (UDF) momentum amid anti-incumbency against the incumbent Left Democratic Front (LDF). Recent opinion polls like IANS-Matrize project a tight UDF-LDF race (UDF 58–69 seats vs. LDF 61–71), bolstering IUML's prospects on its 27 allocated seats in Muslim-stronghold constituencies. IUML MP E.T. Mohammed Basheer predicted a UDF "thumping majority" yesterday, while the party fielded two women candidates for the first time and faced minor backlash from Samastha leaders over general-seat nominations. With campaigning intensifying, turnout in key battlegrounds could tip outcomes in this closely contested 140-seat assembly.

Trader consensus favors the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) securing 19–21 seats at 42.5% implied probability in the April 9, 2026, Kerala Legislative Assembly election, up from 15 in 2021, driven by United Democratic Front (UDF) momentum amid anti-incumbency against the incumbent Left Democratic Front (LDF). Recent opinion polls like IANS-Matrize project a tight UDF-LDF race (UDF 58–69 seats vs. LDF 61–71), bolstering IUML's prospects on its 27 allocated seats in Muslim-stronghold constituencies. IUML MP E.T. Mohammed Basheer predicted a UDF "thumping majority" yesterday, while the party fielded two women candidates for the first time and faced minor backlash from Samastha leaders over general-seat nominations. With campaigning intensifying, turnout in key battlegrounds could tip outcomes in this closely contested 140-seat assembly.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「次のケララ州議会選挙で、IUMLは何議席を獲得しますか?」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「19〜21」で43%、次いで「16〜18」が30%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、43¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に43%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「次のケララ州議会選挙で、IUMLは何議席を獲得しますか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Dec 23, 2025開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「次のケララ州議会選挙で、IUMLは何議席を獲得しますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「次のケララ州議会選挙で、IUMLは何議席を獲得しますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「19〜21」で43%であり、市場がこの結果に43%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「16〜18」で30%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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