Market icon

How many people will watch Trump inauguration?

<26m 100.0%

26-29m <1%

29-32m <1%

32-35m <1%

Polymarket

$919,393 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump's inauguration has less than 26,000,000 viewers. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If Nielsen does not provide viewership information for Trump's inauguration by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source may be chosen.
音量
$919,393
終了日
Jan 20, 2025
作成日時
Jan 7, 2025, 4:39 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump's inauguration has less than 26,000,000 viewers. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If Nielsen does not provide viewership information for Trump's inauguration by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source may be chosen.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"How many people will watch Trump inauguration?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<26m" at 100%, followed by "26-29m" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How many people will watch Trump inauguration?" has generated $919.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 7, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How many people will watch Trump inauguration?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many people will watch Trump inauguration?" is "<26m" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "26-29m" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many people will watch Trump inauguration?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

How many people will watch Trump inauguration?

<26m 100.0%

26-29m <1%

29-32m <1%

32-35m <1%

Polymarket

$919,393 Vol.

<26m

$184,890 Vol.

Yes

26-29m

$97,977 Vol.

No

29-32m

$70,385 Vol.

No

32-35m

$96,383 Vol.

No

35-38m

$79,113 Vol.

No

38-41m

$68,587 Vol.

No

41-44m

$132,623 Vol.

No

44m or more

$189,436 Vol.

No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"How many people will watch Trump inauguration?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<26m" at 100%, followed by "26-29m" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How many people will watch Trump inauguration?" has generated $919.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 7, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How many people will watch Trump inauguration?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many people will watch Trump inauguration?" is "<26m" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "26-29m" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many people will watch Trump inauguration?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.