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財務·ジェローム・パウエル

2027年までに10年国債利回りはどのくらい高くなりますか？

Market icon
財務·ジェローム・パウエル

2027年までに10年国債利回りはどのくらい高くなりますか？

Dec 31

Dec 31

$149,102 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$149,102 Vol.

Polymarket

4.5%

$8,300 Vol.

86%

4.6%

$31,326 Vol.

73%

4.8%

$43,145 Vol.

49%

5.0％

$27,179 Vol.

26%

5.2％

$7,368 Vol.

26%

5.5％

$1,040 Vol.

20%

5.7%

$2,357 Vol.

21%

6.0%

$1,421 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.44% as of March 28, 2026, driven by resilient U.S. economic data amid the Federal Reserve's "higher for longer" stance, with the federal funds rate held steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the March 18 FOMC meeting signaling just one cut in 2026. February CPI rose 2.4% year-over-year, matching January's level, while unemployment edged up to 4.4%, supporting trader bets on sustained growth without imminent policy easing. Yields recently touched 4.48%, reflecting fiscal deficit concerns and sticky core inflation. Key catalysts ahead include March CPI on April 10, Q1 GDP advance on April 30, and the April 28-29 FOMC, where dot plot updates could recalibrate rate path expectations versus market-implied odds.

The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.44% as of March 28, 2026, driven by resilient U.S. economic data amid the Federal Reserve's "higher for longer" stance, with the federal funds rate held steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the March 18 FOMC meeting signaling just one cut in 2026. February CPI rose 2.4% year-over-year, matching January's level, while unemployment edged up to 4.4%, supporting trader bets on sustained growth without imminent policy easing. Yields recently touched 4.48%, reflecting fiscal deficit concerns and sticky core inflation. Key catalysts ahead include March CPI on April 10, Q1 GDP advance on April 30, and the April 28-29 FOMC, where dot plot updates could recalibrate rate path expectations versus market-implied odds.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.44% as of March 28, 2026, driven by resilient U.S. economic data amid the Federal Reserve's "higher for longer" stance, with the federal funds rate held steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the March 18 FOMC meeting signaling just one cut in 2026. February CPI rose 2.4% year-over-year, matching January's level, while unemployment edged up to 4.4%, supporting trader bets on sustained growth without imminent policy easing. Yields recently touched 4.48%, reflecting fiscal deficit concerns and sticky core inflation. Key catalysts ahead include March CPI on April 10, Q1 GDP advance on April 30, and the April 28-29 FOMC, where dot plot updates could recalibrate rate path expectations versus market-implied odds.

The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.44% as of March 28, 2026, driven by resilient U.S. economic data amid the Federal Reserve's "higher for longer" stance, with the federal funds rate held steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the March 18 FOMC meeting signaling just one cut in 2026. February CPI rose 2.4% year-over-year, matching January's level, while unemployment edged up to 4.4%, supporting trader bets on sustained growth without imminent policy easing. Yields recently touched 4.48%, reflecting fiscal deficit concerns and sticky core inflation. Key catalysts ahead include March CPI on April 10, Q1 GDP advance on April 30, and the April 28-29 FOMC, where dot plot updates could recalibrate rate path expectations versus market-implied odds.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「2027年までに10年国債利回りはどのくらい高くなりますか？」はPolymarket上の10個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「4.3%」で100%、次いで「4.4％」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「2027年までに10年国債利回りはどのくらい高くなりますか？」は$149.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 12, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

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「2027年までに10年国債利回りはどのくらい高くなりますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「4.3%」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「4.4％」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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