Traders' strong consensus on "No" at 87.7% reflects the absence of verified Houthi drone, missile, or airstrikes impacting Saudi territory in recent weeks, despite heightened rhetoric amid the Iran-Israel conflict. On March 28, Houthi spokesman Yahya Saree claimed their first direct missile attack on Israel, redirecting focus from Saudi targets to support for Iran and Red Sea shipping disruptions. Earlier warnings urged Riyadh, UAE, and Jordan against intercepting missiles, but Saudi defenses neutralized reported drone launches toward oil fields like Shaybah on March 7 without impacts. Saudi Arabia has elevated military readiness and vowed retaliation if attacked, while pursuing de-escalation to avoid Yemen front escalation before the March 31 deadline. An anticipated Houthi statement emphasizes readiness over new operations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$23,661 Vol.
$23,661 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
$23,661 Vol.
$23,661 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Saudi Arabia's
ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Saudi Arabia's control.
Saudi Arabia's ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Saudi Arabia as of market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Saudi Arabia's soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Traders' strong consensus on "No" at 87.7% reflects the absence of verified Houthi drone, missile, or airstrikes impacting Saudi territory in recent weeks, despite heightened rhetoric amid the Iran-Israel conflict. On March 28, Houthi spokesman Yahya Saree claimed their first direct missile attack on Israel, redirecting focus from Saudi targets to support for Iran and Red Sea shipping disruptions. Earlier warnings urged Riyadh, UAE, and Jordan against intercepting missiles, but Saudi defenses neutralized reported drone launches toward oil fields like Shaybah on March 7 without impacts. Saudi Arabia has elevated military readiness and vowed retaliation if attacked, while pursuing de-escalation to avoid Yemen front escalation before the March 31 deadline. An anticipated Houthi statement emphasizes readiness over new operations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Saudi Arabia's
ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Saudi Arabia's control.
Saudi Arabia's ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Saudi Arabia as of market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Saudi Arabia's soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Saudi Arabia's control.
Saudi Arabia's ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Saudi Arabia as of market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Saudi Arabia's soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
マーケット開始日： Mar 17, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
音量
$23,661終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 17, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Saudi Arabia's
ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Saudi Arabia's control.
Saudi Arabia's ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Saudi Arabia as of market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Saudi Arabia's soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Traders' strong consensus on "No" at 87.7% reflects the absence of verified Houthi drone, missile, or airstrikes impacting Saudi territory in recent weeks, despite heightened rhetoric amid the Iran-Israel conflict. On March 28, Houthi spokesman Yahya Saree claimed their first direct missile attack on Israel, redirecting focus from Saudi targets to support for Iran and Red Sea shipping disruptions. Earlier warnings urged Riyadh, UAE, and Jordan against intercepting missiles, but Saudi defenses neutralized reported drone launches toward oil fields like Shaybah on March 7 without impacts. Saudi Arabia has elevated military readiness and vowed retaliation if attacked, while pursuing de-escalation to avoid Yemen front escalation before the March 31 deadline. An anticipated Houthi statement emphasizes readiness over new operations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Saudi Arabia's
ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Saudi Arabia's control.
Saudi Arabia's ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Saudi Arabia as of market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Saudi Arabia's soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Saudi Arabia's control.
Saudi Arabia's ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Saudi Arabia as of market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Saudi Arabia's soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
音量
$23,661終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 17, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders' strong consensus on "No" at 87.7% reflects the absence of verified Houthi drone, missile, or airstrikes impacting Saudi territory in recent weeks, despite heightened rhetoric amid the Iran-Israel conflict. On March 28, Houthi spokesman Yahya Saree claimed their first direct missile attack on Israel, redirecting focus from Saudi targets to support for Iran and Red Sea shipping disruptions. Earlier warnings urged Riyadh, UAE, and Jordan against intercepting missiles, but Saudi defenses neutralized reported drone launches toward oil fields like Shaybah on March 7 without impacts. Saudi Arabia has elevated military readiness and vowed retaliation if attacked, while pursuing de-escalation to avoid Yemen front escalation before the March 31 deadline. An anticipated Houthi statement emphasizes readiness over new operations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問