Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast for Taipei on March 29 indicates daytime highs of 20–27°C under partly clear to mostly cloudy skies with light east winds and low 10% precipitation odds, fueling trader consensus around a peak near 23–24°C as reflected in the closely matched implied probabilities (24°C at 27.5%, 23°C at 24%, 22°C or below at 23.9%). This uncertainty stems from variable high-cloud cover potentially limiting solar insolation and slight model divergences on boundary layer mixing, against late March climatological averages of 22–24°C highs. Recent observations show stable mild conditions without strong cold fronts, but final CWA hourly data releases will clarify the peak before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?
23°C 25%
24°C 25%
22°C or below 24.4%
25°C 14%
$186,908 Vol.
$186,908 Vol.
22°C or below
24%
23°C
25%
24°C
25%
25°C
14%
26°C
7%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
23°C 25%
24°C 25%
22°C or below 24.4%
25°C 14%
$186,908 Vol.
$186,908 Vol.
22°C or below
24%
23°C
25%
24°C
25%
25°C
14%
26°C
7%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 25, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast for Taipei on March 29 indicates daytime highs of 20–27°C under partly clear to mostly cloudy skies with light east winds and low 10% precipitation odds, fueling trader consensus around a peak near 23–24°C as reflected in the closely matched implied probabilities (24°C at 27.5%, 23°C at 24%, 22°C or below at 23.9%). This uncertainty stems from variable high-cloud cover potentially limiting solar insolation and slight model divergences on boundary layer mixing, against late March climatological averages of 22–24°C highs. Recent observations show stable mild conditions without strong cold fronts, but final CWA hourly data releases will clarify the peak before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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