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Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?

Mar 29

Mar 29

27°C 99.6%

28°C <1%

29°C <1%

30°C <1%

Polymarket

$164,951 Vol.

27°C 99.6%

28°C <1%

29°C <1%

30°C <1%

Polymarket

$164,951 Vol.

27°C

$46,449 Vol.

100%

28°C

$10,671 Vol.

<1%

29°C

$11,614 Vol.

<1%

30°C

$10,358 Vol.

<1%

31°C or higher

$10,552 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Baoan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.5% implied probability to a highest temperature of 27°C in Shenzhen today, driven by real-time observations at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport showing midday readings in the mid-20s°C under persistent cloud cover and high humidity from southerly winds, per China Meteorological Administration updates. Major forecast models like those from AccuWeather (projecting highs near 28°C or 82°F) and Weather.com (around 26-27°C) align closely after rounding to nearest degree, reflecting suppressed solar heating amid overcast conditions typical for late March climatology, where average highs are 23-25°C. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected afternoon cloud dissipation enabling brief convective warming to 28°C, though model agreement and current trends make this unlikely; resolution awaits final evening airport data.

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.5% implied probability to a highest temperature of 27°C in Shenzhen today, driven by real-time observations at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport showing midday readings in the mid-20s°C under persistent cloud cover and high humidity from southerly winds, per China Meteorological Administration updates. Major forecast models like those from AccuWeather (projecting highs near 28°C or 82°F) and Weather.com (around 26-27°C) align closely after rounding to nearest degree, reflecting suppressed solar heating amid overcast conditions typical for late March climatology, where average highs are 23-25°C. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected afternoon cloud dissipation enabling brief convective warming to 28°C, though model agreement and current trends make this unlikely; resolution awaits final evening airport data.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Baoan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.5% implied probability to a highest temperature of 27°C in Shenzhen today, driven by real-time observations at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport showing midday readings in the mid-20s°C under persistent cloud cover and high humidity from southerly winds, per China Meteorological Administration updates. Major forecast models like those from AccuWeather (projecting highs near 28°C or 82°F) and Weather.com (around 26-27°C) align closely after rounding to nearest degree, reflecting suppressed solar heating amid overcast conditions typical for late March climatology, where average highs are 23-25°C. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected afternoon cloud dissipation enabling brief convective warming to 28°C, though model agreement and current trends make this unlikely; resolution awaits final evening airport data.

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.5% implied probability to a highest temperature of 27°C in Shenzhen today, driven by real-time observations at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport showing midday readings in the mid-20s°C under persistent cloud cover and high humidity from southerly winds, per China Meteorological Administration updates. Major forecast models like those from AccuWeather (projecting highs near 28°C or 82°F) and Weather.com (around 26-27°C) align closely after rounding to nearest degree, reflecting suppressed solar heating amid overcast conditions typical for late March climatology, where average highs are 23-25°C. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected afternoon cloud dissipation enabling brief convective warming to 28°C, though model agreement and current trends make this unlikely; resolution awaits final evening airport data.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「27°C」で100%、次いで「28°C」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?」は$165Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 25, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?」の現在のフロントランナーは「27°C」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「28°C」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。