Official National Weather Service observations from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station in New York City confirm the highest temperature on April 1, 2026, reached 79°F, placing it firmly in the 78-79°F range with 100% market-implied probability. This peak, recorded amid partly sunny skies and southwest winds gusting over 20 mph, exceeded NWS pre-day forecasts of near 76°F but aligned with ongoing unseasonably warm patterns following March's record early 80°F readings at nearby Central Park. Far above the 55°F climatological normal, the warmth stemmed from persistent high-pressure ridging and southerly air flow. Realistic challenges are minimal—only rare post hoc data revisions by NOAA could alter resolution, as daily summaries are typically finalized swiftly.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in NYC on April 1?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 1?
78-79°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$333,921 Vol.
$333,921 Vol.
2026/04/01
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$333,921 Vol.
$333,921 Vol.
2026/04/01
69°F or below
$21,741 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$20,173 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$69,716 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$21,758 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$25,840 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$44,058 Vol.
Yes
80-81°F
$55,150 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$38,173 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$13,434 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$7,436 Vol.
No
88°F or higher
$16,442 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station in New York City confirm the highest temperature on April 1, 2026, reached 79°F, placing it firmly in the 78-79°F range with 100% market-implied probability. This peak, recorded amid partly sunny skies and southwest winds gusting over 20 mph, exceeded NWS pre-day forecasts of near 76°F but aligned with ongoing unseasonably warm patterns following March's record early 80°F readings at nearby Central Park. Far above the 55°F climatological normal, the warmth stemmed from persistent high-pressure ridging and southerly air flow. Realistic challenges are minimal—only rare post hoc data revisions by NOAA could alter resolution, as daily summaries are typically finalized swiftly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
音量
$333,921終了日
2026/04/01マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station in New York City confirm the highest temperature on April 1, 2026, reached 79°F, placing it firmly in the 78-79°F range with 100% market-implied probability. This peak, recorded amid partly sunny skies and southwest winds gusting over 20 mph, exceeded NWS pre-day forecasts of near 76°F but aligned with ongoing unseasonably warm patterns following March's record early 80°F readings at nearby Central Park. Far above the 55°F climatological normal, the warmth stemmed from persistent high-pressure ridging and southerly air flow. Realistic challenges are minimal—only rare post hoc data revisions by NOAA could alter resolution, as daily summaries are typically finalized swiftly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$333,921終了日
2026/04/01マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official National Weather Service observations from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station in New York City confirm the highest temperature on April 1, 2026, reached 79°F, placing it firmly in the 78-79°F range with 100% market-implied probability. This peak, recorded amid partly sunny skies and southwest winds gusting over 20 mph, exceeded NWS pre-day forecasts of near 76°F but aligned with ongoing unseasonably warm patterns following March's record early 80°F readings at nearby Central Park. Far above the 55°F climatological normal, the warmth stemmed from persistent high-pressure ridging and southerly air flow. Realistic challenges are minimal—only rare post hoc data revisions by NOAA could alter resolution, as daily summaries are typically finalized swiftly.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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