Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 67°F or below at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on March 28, reflecting strong alignment with the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and NOAA ensemble forecast models projecting daytime highs capped at 65-67°F amid persistent marine stratus clouds and robust onshore winds of 10-15 mph. This positioning stems from the abrupt end to Southern California's historic March heat wave—where earlier highs exceeded 90°F under a stubborn high-pressure ridge—now displaced by a deepening upper trough ushering cooler mid-level air and low-level moisture advection, limiting solar insolation despite ample daylight. March climatology supports this, with LAX's average high near 67°F. Realistic challenges include premature marine layer burn-off allowing prolonged sunshine or sudden wind shifts to offshore flow boosting temperatures toward 70°F, though model runs assign low odds to such deviations; monitor hourly METAR observations through sunset for updates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 28?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 28?
67°F or below 98.0%
68-69°F 3.1%
70-71°F 1.6%
82-83°F <1%
$85,321 Vol.
$85,321 Vol.
67°F or below
98%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
67°F or below 98.0%
68-69°F 3.1%
70-71°F 1.6%
82-83°F <1%
$85,321 Vol.
$85,321 Vol.
67°F or below
98%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 67°F or below at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on March 28, reflecting strong alignment with the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and NOAA ensemble forecast models projecting daytime highs capped at 65-67°F amid persistent marine stratus clouds and robust onshore winds of 10-15 mph. This positioning stems from the abrupt end to Southern California's historic March heat wave—where earlier highs exceeded 90°F under a stubborn high-pressure ridge—now displaced by a deepening upper trough ushering cooler mid-level air and low-level moisture advection, limiting solar insolation despite ample daylight. March climatology supports this, with LAX's average high near 67°F. Realistic challenges include premature marine layer burn-off allowing prolonged sunshine or sudden wind shifts to offshore flow boosting temperatures toward 70°F, though model runs assign low odds to such deviations; monitor hourly METAR observations through sunset for updates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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