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3月30日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？

Market icon

3月30日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？

Mar 30

Mar 31

Apr 1

Apr 2

Mar 30

Mar 31

Apr 1

Apr 2

11℃ 46%

10℃ 30%

12°C 27%

13℃ 6%

Polymarket
NEW

11℃ 46%

10℃ 30%

12°C 27%

13℃ 6%

Polymarket
NEW

6°C

$1,115 Vol.

<1%

7℃

$2,994 Vol.

<1%

8℃

$422 Vol.

<1%

9°C

$174 Vol.

5%

10℃

$225 Vol.

31%

11℃

$179 Vol.

37%

12°C

$77 Vol.

27%

13℃

$65 Vol.

6%

14℃以上

$229 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 42% implied probability to an 11°C high in Istanbul today, closely trailed by 10°C at 36% and 12°C at 28.5%, driven by the latest ECMWF, GFS ensemble forecasts, and Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) guidance projecting daytime maximums of 10-12°C amid persistent rain and overcast conditions. Heavy morning precipitation (97% chance, up to 7-10 mm) and thick cloud cover severely limit solar heating, while moderate westerly winds around 20 km/h provide minimal mixing to boost near-surface temperatures. Model spread of 1-2°C stems from uncertainty in afternoon cloud breaks and rain timing, with 10°C favored if showers dominate versus 12°C on partial clearing. Official observations at Istanbul's primary station will resolve the market by midnight, against a late-March climatological high of 12°C.

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 42% implied probability to an 11°C high in Istanbul today, closely trailed by 10°C at 36% and 12°C at 28.5%, driven by the latest ECMWF, GFS ensemble forecasts, and Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) guidance projecting daytime maximums of 10-12°C amid persistent rain and overcast conditions. Heavy morning precipitation (97% chance, up to 7-10 mm) and thick cloud cover severely limit solar heating, while moderate westerly winds around 20 km/h provide minimal mixing to boost near-surface temperatures. Model spread of 1-2°C stems from uncertainty in afternoon cloud breaks and rain timing, with 10°C favored if showers dominate versus 12°C on partial clearing. Official observations at Istanbul's primary station will resolve the market by midnight, against a late-March climatological high of 12°C.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 42% implied probability to an 11°C high in Istanbul today, closely trailed by 10°C at 36% and 12°C at 28.5%, driven by the latest ECMWF, GFS ensemble forecasts, and Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) guidance projecting daytime maximums of 10-12°C amid persistent rain and overcast conditions. Heavy morning precipitation (97% chance, up to 7-10 mm) and thick cloud cover severely limit solar heating, while moderate westerly winds around 20 km/h provide minimal mixing to boost near-surface temperatures. Model spread of 1-2°C stems from uncertainty in afternoon cloud breaks and rain timing, with 10°C favored if showers dominate versus 12°C on partial clearing. Official observations at Istanbul's primary station will resolve the market by midnight, against a late-March climatological high of 12°C.

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 42% implied probability to an 11°C high in Istanbul today, closely trailed by 10°C at 36% and 12°C at 28.5%, driven by the latest ECMWF, GFS ensemble forecasts, and Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) guidance projecting daytime maximums of 10-12°C amid persistent rain and overcast conditions. Heavy morning precipitation (97% chance, up to 7-10 mm) and thick cloud cover severely limit solar heating, while moderate westerly winds around 20 km/h provide minimal mixing to boost near-surface temperatures. Model spread of 1-2°C stems from uncertainty in afternoon cloud breaks and rain timing, with 10°C favored if showers dominate versus 12°C on partial clearing. Official observations at Istanbul's primary station will resolve the market by midnight, against a late-March climatological high of 12°C.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「3月30日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「11℃」で37%、次いで「10℃」が31%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、37¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に37%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「3月30日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Mar 29, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「3月30日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「3月30日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？」の現在のフロントランナーは「11℃」で37%であり、市場がこの結果に37%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「10℃」で31%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「3月30日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。