Market icon
エコノミー·マクロインジケータ

2026年第1四半期のユーロ圏GDP成長率

Market icon
エコノミー·マクロインジケータ

2026年第1四半期のユーロ圏GDP成長率

Apr 30

Apr 30

NEW
Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

0.5％未満

$0 Vol.

17%

0.5-0.8%

$0 Vol.

37%

0.9〜1.2%

$0 Vol.

47%

1.3〜1.6％

$0 Vol.

39%

1.7〜2.0％

$0 Vol.

32%

2.1〜2.4％

$0 Vol.

35%

2.5％以上

$0 Vol.

29%

This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q1 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment on Eurozone Q1 2026 GDP growth reflects caution amid softening leading indicators, with S&P Global's March flash Composite Purchasing Managers' Index dropping to a 10-month low of 50.5 from 51.9 in February, signaling quarterly expansion slowing to just below 0.1%—a sharp deceleration from Q4 2025's 0.3% rise. ECB staff macroeconomic projections released March 19 revised 2026 annual real GDP growth down to 0.9% from prior estimates, citing persistent services weakness and trade uncertainties despite manufacturing PMI improvement to 51.4. Upcoming catalysts include the Eurostat Q1 flash GDP estimate around April 30 and the ECB's April 24 policy meeting, where deposit rate path expectations hinge on labor market resilience and inflation trajectory toward 2%.

Trader sentiment on Eurozone Q1 2026 GDP growth reflects caution amid softening leading indicators, with S&P Global's March flash Composite Purchasing Managers' Index dropping to a 10-month low of 50.5 from 51.9 in February, signaling quarterly expansion slowing to just below 0.1%—a sharp deceleration from Q4 2025's 0.3% rise. ECB staff macroeconomic projections released March 19 revised 2026 annual real GDP growth down to 0.9% from prior estimates, citing persistent services weakness and trade uncertainties despite manufacturing PMI improvement to 51.4. Upcoming catalysts include the Eurostat Q1 flash GDP estimate around April 30 and the ECB's April 24 policy meeting, where deposit rate path expectations hinge on labor market resilience and inflation trajectory toward 2%.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q1 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment on Eurozone Q1 2026 GDP growth reflects caution amid softening leading indicators, with S&P Global's March flash Composite Purchasing Managers' Index dropping to a 10-month low of 50.5 from 51.9 in February, signaling quarterly expansion slowing to just below 0.1%—a sharp deceleration from Q4 2025's 0.3% rise. ECB staff macroeconomic projections released March 19 revised 2026 annual real GDP growth down to 0.9% from prior estimates, citing persistent services weakness and trade uncertainties despite manufacturing PMI improvement to 51.4. Upcoming catalysts include the Eurostat Q1 flash GDP estimate around April 30 and the ECB's April 24 policy meeting, where deposit rate path expectations hinge on labor market resilience and inflation trajectory toward 2%.

Trader sentiment on Eurozone Q1 2026 GDP growth reflects caution amid softening leading indicators, with S&P Global's March flash Composite Purchasing Managers' Index dropping to a 10-month low of 50.5 from 51.9 in February, signaling quarterly expansion slowing to just below 0.1%—a sharp deceleration from Q4 2025's 0.3% rise. ECB staff macroeconomic projections released March 19 revised 2026 annual real GDP growth down to 0.9% from prior estimates, citing persistent services weakness and trade uncertainties despite manufacturing PMI improvement to 51.4. Upcoming catalysts include the Eurostat Q1 flash GDP estimate around April 30 and the ECB's April 24 policy meeting, where deposit rate path expectations hinge on labor market resilience and inflation trajectory toward 2%.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「2026年第1四半期のユーロ圏GDP成長率」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「0.9〜1.2%」で47%、次いで「1.3〜1.6％」が39%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、47¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に47%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「2026年第1四半期のユーロ圏GDP成長率」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Feb 2, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「2026年第1四半期のユーロ圏GDP成長率」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「2026年第1四半期のユーロ圏GDP成長率」の現在のフロントランナーは「0.9〜1.2%」で47%であり、市場がこの結果に47%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「1.3〜1.6％」で39%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「2026年第1四半期のユーロ圏GDP成長率」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。