Market icon

Elon Musk Muskが2026年4月にツイートしましたか?

Market icon

Elon Musk Muskが2026年4月にツイートしましたか?

1320〜1359 11.8%

1400〜1439 11.1%

1360~1399 9.8%

1440〜1479 9.2%

Polymarket

$4,380,027 Vol.

1320〜1359 11.8%

1400〜1439 11.1%

1360~1399 9.8%

1440〜1479 9.2%

Polymarket

$4,380,027 Vol.

20未満

$111,370 Vol.

<1%

20〜39

$0 Vol.

<1%

40~59

$33,110 Vol.

<1%

60〜79

$0 Vol.

<1%

80〜99

$0 Vol.

<1%

100~119

$21,284 Vol.

<1%

120〜139

$0 Vol.

<1%

140〜159

$0 Vol.

<1%

160~179

$34,069 Vol.

<1%

180〜199

$35,773 Vol.

<1%

200〜219

$0 Vol.

<1%

220~239

$0 Vol.

<1%

240〜259

$39,845 Vol.

<1%

260~279

$22,229 Vol.

<1%

280~299

$65,395 Vol.

<1%

300~319

$28,425 Vol.

<1%

320~339

$23,116 Vol.

<1%

340〜359

$29,954 Vol.

<1%

360〜379

$30,923 Vol.

<1%

380〜399

$34,519 Vol.

<1%

400〜419

$19,500 Vol.

<1%

420~439

$14,643 Vol.

<1%

440~459

$26,728 Vol.

<1%

460〜479

$11,236 Vol.

<1%

480〜499

$18,091 Vol.

<1%

500〜519

$85,626 Vol.

<1%

520〜539

$58,679 Vol.

<1%

540~559

$55,060 Vol.

<1%

560~579

$67,529 Vol.

<1%

580~599

$72,001 Vol.

<1%

600~619

$58,371 Vol.

<1%

620〜639

$89,007 Vol.

<1%

640〜659

$79,742 Vol.

<1%

660~679

$119,066 Vol.

<1%

680〜699

$28,440 Vol.

<1%

700〜719

$48,870 Vol.

<1%

720~739

$38,050 Vol.

<1%

740~759

$8,786 Vol.

<1%

760~779

$27,920 Vol.

<1%

780〜799

$33,145 Vol.

<1%

800〜839

$20,034 Vol.

1%

840〜879

$21,142 Vol.

<1%

880〜919

$129,069 Vol.

1%

920〜959

$38,671 Vol.

2%

960~999

$27,701 Vol.

1%

1000〜1039

$28,194 Vol.

1%

1040~1079

$81,091 Vol.

1%

1080~1119

$52,621 Vol.

2%

1120~1159

$102,648 Vol.

3%

1160~1199

$262,339 Vol.

4%

1200~1239

$156,478 Vol.

6%

1240〜1279

$74,372 Vol.

7%

1280~1319

$158,805 Vol.

9%

1320〜1359

$229,788 Vol.

12%

1360~1399

$206,280 Vol.

10%

1400〜1439

$510,942 Vol.

11%

1440〜1479

$74,160 Vol.

9%

1480~1519

$65,720 Vol.

7%

1520〜1559

$82,171 Vol.

6%

1560〜1599

$102,108 Vol.

6%

1600〜1679

$97,034 Vol.

2%

1,680〜1,759

$135,251 Vol.

2%

1,760〜1,839

$92,477 Vol.

2%

1840〜1919

$137,502 Vol.

3%

1920-1999

$11,219 Vol.

2%

2000件以上

$11,708 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 1320-1439 tweets for Elon Musk's April 2026 X activity, implying a steady 44-48 posts per day, closely mirroring his late-March pace of 50+ daily amid Tesla FSD safety boasts, Starship factory hype, and Grok AI promotions. Recent catalysts include March 23's 54-post day and February 23's 56, sustaining momentum without slowdowns from political firestorms or xAI updates, while historical election-era spikes inform the tight race among mid-1300s bins. Key differentiators: April's 30 days versus March's 31, potential upticks from Q2 Tesla earnings buzz or Starship launches, versus dips from travel; traders eye real-time social media engagement as the swing factor in this volatile celebrity posting market.

Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 1320-1439 tweets for Elon Musk's April 2026 X activity, implying a steady 44-48 posts per day, closely mirroring his late-March pace of 50+ daily amid Tesla FSD safety boasts, Starship factory hype, and Grok AI promotions. Recent catalysts include March 23's 54-post day and February 23's 56, sustaining momentum without slowdowns from political firestorms or xAI updates, while historical election-era spikes inform the tight race among mid-1300s bins. Key differentiators: April's 30 days versus March's 31, potential upticks from Q2 Tesla earnings buzz or Starship launches, versus dips from travel; traders eye real-time social media engagement as the swing factor in this volatile celebrity posting market.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 1320-1439 tweets for Elon Musk's April 2026 X activity, implying a steady 44-48 posts per day, closely mirroring his late-March pace of 50+ daily amid Tesla FSD safety boasts, Starship factory hype, and Grok AI promotions. Recent catalysts include March 23's 54-post day and February 23's 56, sustaining momentum without slowdowns from political firestorms or xAI updates, while historical election-era spikes inform the tight race among mid-1300s bins. Key differentiators: April's 30 days versus March's 31, potential upticks from Q2 Tesla earnings buzz or Starship launches, versus dips from travel; traders eye real-time social media engagement as the swing factor in this volatile celebrity posting market.

Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 1320-1439 tweets for Elon Musk's April 2026 X activity, implying a steady 44-48 posts per day, closely mirroring his late-March pace of 50+ daily amid Tesla FSD safety boasts, Starship factory hype, and Grok AI promotions. Recent catalysts include March 23's 54-post day and February 23's 56, sustaining momentum without slowdowns from political firestorms or xAI updates, while historical election-era spikes inform the tight race among mid-1300s bins. Key differentiators: April's 30 days versus March's 31, potential upticks from Q2 Tesla earnings buzz or Starship launches, versus dips from travel; traders eye real-time social media engagement as the swing factor in this volatile celebrity posting market.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Elon Musk Muskが2026年4月にツイートしましたか?」はPolymarket上の66+個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「1320〜1359」で12%、次いで「1400〜1439」が11%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、12¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に12%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Elon Musk Muskが2026年4月にツイートしましたか?」は$4.4 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Feb 24, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Elon Musk Muskが2026年4月にツイートしましたか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている66+個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Elon Musk Muskが2026年4月にツイートしましたか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「1320〜1359」で12%であり、市場がこの結果に12%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「1400〜1439」で11%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Elon Musk Muskが2026年4月にツイートしましたか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。