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icon for ユーロビジョン2026 ：初の準決勝

ユーロビジョン2026 ：初の準決勝

icon for ユーロビジョン2026 ：初の準決勝

ユーロビジョン2026 ：初の準決勝

$653,307 Vol.

2026/05/12
Polymarket

$653,307 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for フィンランド

フィンランド

$348,086 Vol.

100%

icon for ギリシャ

ギリシャ

$15,464 Vol.

99%

icon for イスラエル

イスラエル

$30,472 Vol.

99%

icon for スウェーデン

スウェーデン

$8,868 Vol.

98%

icon for クロアチア

クロアチア

$11,952 Vol.

91%

icon for モルドバ

モルドバ

$28,621 Vol.

83%

icon for セルビア

セルビア

$50,269 Vol.

78%

icon for リトアニア

リトアニア

$9,817 Vol.

65%

icon for ポーランド

ポーランド

$12,681 Vol.

57%

icon for モンテネグロ

モンテネグロ

$10,710 Vol.

46%

icon for エストニア

エストニア

$42,313 Vol.

44%

icon for ポルトガル

ポルトガル

$37,959 Vol.

44%

icon for ベルギー

ベルギー

$11,799 Vol.

34%

icon for ジョージア

ジョージア

$16,126 Vol.

26%

icon for サンマリノ

サンマリノ

$18,168 Vol.

18%

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final looming on May 12 in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, second rehearsal clips released yesterday have solidified trader consensus around frontrunners Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin"—fresh off an OGAE fan poll win—alongside Greece's Akylas ("Ferto"), Sweden's Felicia ("My System"), and Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle"), thanks to polished stagings and strong previews boosting televote potential. Fifteen acts battle for ten spots via jury and public votes, with recent buzz elevating Serbia's Lavina ("Kraj mene"), Croatia's Lelek ("Andromeda"), and Poland's Alicja ("Pray") as contenders amid Israel's controversy-fueled scrutiny. Vicky Leandros opens proceedings, but diaspora mobilization and last-minute fan momentum could spark upsets before Tuesday's live televote.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$653,307
終了日
2026/05/12
マーケット開始日
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final looming on May 12 in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, second rehearsal clips released yesterday have solidified trader consensus around frontrunners Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin"—fresh off an OGAE fan poll win—alongside Greece's Akylas ("Ferto"), Sweden's Felicia ("My System"), and Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle"), thanks to polished stagings and strong previews boosting televote potential. Fifteen acts battle for ten spots via jury and public votes, with recent buzz elevating Serbia's Lavina ("Kraj mene"), Croatia's Lelek ("Andromeda"), and Poland's Alicja ("Pray") as contenders amid Israel's controversy-fueled scrutiny. Vicky Leandros opens proceedings, but diaspora mobilization and last-minute fan momentum could spark upsets before Tuesday's live televote.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$653,307
終了日
2026/05/12
マーケット開始日
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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よくある質問

「ユーロビジョン2026 ：初の準決勝」はPolymarket上の15個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「フィンランド」で100%、次いで「ギリシャ」が99%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ユーロビジョン2026 ：初の準決勝」は$653.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Jan 16, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ユーロビジョン2026 ：初の準決勝」で取引するには、このページに記載されている15個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ユーロビジョン2026 ：初の準決勝」の現在のフロントランナーは「フィンランド」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ギリシャ」で99%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ユーロビジョン2026 ：初の準決勝」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。