Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's April 2026 X posting volume in a tight cluster around 1320-1519 tweets (top bins at 11.2% for 1400-1439, 9.9% for 1320-1359, 9.8% for 1360-1399), extrapolating his consistent 40-50 posts per day from late March's pace—evident in resolved weekly markets like March 24-31 (280-340 expected) and ongoing FSD buzz driving engagement. This closely matched field underscores competitive dynamics shaped by daily fluctuations: viral Tesla or xAI announcements could spike toward 1500+, while travel or launches might dip below 1300. March's projected 1350 total sets the baseline, with no verified slowdowns amid his role as pop culture provocateur, though unpredictable news cycles keep odds fragmented ahead of April's first week.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日1400〜1439 11.2%
1320〜1359 10.0%
1360~1399 9.8%
1440〜1479 9.3%
$4,404,093 Vol.
$4,404,093 Vol.
20未満
<1%
20〜39
<1%
40~59
<1%
60〜79
<1%
80〜99
<1%
100~119
<1%
120〜139
<1%
140〜159
<1%
160~179
<1%
180〜199
<1%
200〜219
<1%
220~239
<1%
240〜259
<1%
260~279
<1%
280~299
<1%
300~319
<1%
320~339
<1%
340〜359
<1%
360〜379
<1%
380〜399
<1%
400〜419
<1%
420~439
<1%
440~459
<1%
460〜479
<1%
480〜499
<1%
500〜519
<1%
520〜539
<1%
540~559
<1%
560~579
<1%
580~599
<1%
600~619
<1%
620〜639
<1%
640〜659
<1%
660~679
<1%
680〜699
<1%
700〜719
<1%
720~739
<1%
740~759
<1%
760~779
<1%
780〜799
<1%
800〜839
1%
840〜879
<1%
880〜919
1%
920〜959
2%
960~999
1%
1000〜1039
1%
1040~1079
1%
1080~1119
3%
1120~1159
2%
1160~1199
7%
1200~1239
5%
1240〜1279
6%
1280~1319
9%
1320〜1359
10%
1360~1399
10%
1400〜1439
11%
1440〜1479
9%
1480~1519
8%
1520〜1559
6%
1560〜1599
6%
1600〜1679
3%
1,680〜1,759
2%
1,760〜1,839
2%
1840〜1919
3%
1920-1999
1%
2000件以上
2%
1400〜1439 11.2%
1320〜1359 10.0%
1360~1399 9.8%
1440〜1479 9.3%
$4,404,093 Vol.
$4,404,093 Vol.
20未満
<1%
20〜39
<1%
40~59
<1%
60〜79
<1%
80〜99
<1%
100~119
<1%
120〜139
<1%
140〜159
<1%
160~179
<1%
180〜199
<1%
200〜219
<1%
220~239
<1%
240〜259
<1%
260~279
<1%
280~299
<1%
300~319
<1%
320~339
<1%
340〜359
<1%
360〜379
<1%
380〜399
<1%
400〜419
<1%
420~439
<1%
440~459
<1%
460〜479
<1%
480〜499
<1%
500〜519
<1%
520〜539
<1%
540~559
<1%
560~579
<1%
580~599
<1%
600~619
<1%
620〜639
<1%
640〜659
<1%
660~679
<1%
680〜699
<1%
700〜719
<1%
720~739
<1%
740~759
<1%
760~779
<1%
780〜799
<1%
800〜839
1%
840〜879
<1%
880〜919
1%
920〜959
2%
960~999
1%
1000〜1039
1%
1040~1079
1%
1080~1119
3%
1120~1159
2%
1160~1199
7%
1200~1239
5%
1240〜1279
6%
1280~1319
9%
1320〜1359
10%
1360~1399
10%
1400〜1439
11%
1440〜1479
9%
1480~1519
8%
1520〜1559
6%
1560〜1599
6%
1600〜1679
3%
1,680〜1,759
2%
1,760〜1,839
2%
1840〜1919
3%
1920-1999
1%
2000件以上
2%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日: Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's April 2026 X posting volume in a tight cluster around 1320-1519 tweets (top bins at 11.2% for 1400-1439, 9.9% for 1320-1359, 9.8% for 1360-1399), extrapolating his consistent 40-50 posts per day from late March's pace—evident in resolved weekly markets like March 24-31 (280-340 expected) and ongoing FSD buzz driving engagement. This closely matched field underscores competitive dynamics shaped by daily fluctuations: viral Tesla or xAI announcements could spike toward 1500+, while travel or launches might dip below 1300. March's projected 1350 total sets the baseline, with no verified slowdowns amid his role as pop culture provocateur, though unpredictable news cycles keep odds fragmented ahead of April's first week.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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