Market icon

Elon Musk Muskが2026年4月にツイートしましたか?

Market icon

Elon Musk Muskが2026年4月にツイートしましたか?

1400〜1439 11.2%

1320〜1359 10.0%

1360~1399 9.8%

1440〜1479 9.3%

Polymarket

$4,404,093 Vol.

1400〜1439 11.2%

1320〜1359 10.0%

1360~1399 9.8%

1440〜1479 9.3%

Polymarket

$4,404,093 Vol.

20未満

$112,870 Vol.

<1%

20〜39

$0 Vol.

<1%

40~59

$34,110 Vol.

<1%

60〜79

$0 Vol.

<1%

80〜99

$0 Vol.

<1%

100~119

$22,291 Vol.

<1%

120〜139

$0 Vol.

<1%

140〜159

$0 Vol.

<1%

160~179

$35,069 Vol.

<1%

180〜199

$35,998 Vol.

<1%

200〜219

$0 Vol.

<1%

220~239

$0 Vol.

<1%

240〜259

$39,845 Vol.

<1%

260~279

$24,729 Vol.

<1%

280~299

$67,895 Vol.

<1%

300~319

$30,925 Vol.

<1%

320~339

$25,616 Vol.

<1%

340〜359

$32,424 Vol.

<1%

360〜379

$32,423 Vol.

<1%

380〜399

$36,019 Vol.

<1%

400〜419

$21,000 Vol.

<1%

420~439

$15,643 Vol.

<1%

440~459

$26,728 Vol.

<1%

460〜479

$11,236 Vol.

<1%

480〜499

$18,091 Vol.

<1%

500〜519

$85,626 Vol.

<1%

520〜539

$58,679 Vol.

<1%

540~559

$55,060 Vol.

<1%

560~579

$67,529 Vol.

<1%

580~599

$72,045 Vol.

<1%

600~619

$58,371 Vol.

<1%

620〜639

$89,007 Vol.

<1%

640〜659

$79,844 Vol.

<1%

660~679

$119,066 Vol.

<1%

680〜699

$28,440 Vol.

<1%

700〜719

$48,870 Vol.

<1%

720~739

$38,050 Vol.

<1%

740~759

$8,786 Vol.

<1%

760~779

$27,925 Vol.

<1%

780〜799

$33,145 Vol.

<1%

800〜839

$20,034 Vol.

1%

840〜879

$21,142 Vol.

<1%

880〜919

$129,069 Vol.

1%

920〜959

$38,713 Vol.

2%

960~999

$27,701 Vol.

1%

1000〜1039

$28,194 Vol.

1%

1040~1079

$81,091 Vol.

1%

1080~1119

$52,621 Vol.

3%

1120~1159

$102,688 Vol.

2%

1160~1199

$262,842 Vol.

7%

1200~1239

$156,478 Vol.

5%

1240〜1279

$74,386 Vol.

6%

1280~1319

$159,015 Vol.

9%

1320〜1359

$229,867 Vol.

10%

1360~1399

$206,315 Vol.

10%

1400〜1439

$510,942 Vol.

11%

1440〜1479

$74,192 Vol.

9%

1480~1519

$65,720 Vol.

8%

1520〜1559

$82,171 Vol.

6%

1560〜1599

$102,134 Vol.

6%

1600〜1679

$97,034 Vol.

3%

1,680〜1,759

$135,251 Vol.

2%

1,760〜1,839

$92,699 Vol.

2%

1840〜1919

$137,502 Vol.

3%

1920-1999

$11,219 Vol.

1%

2000件以上

$11,717 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's April 2026 X posting volume in a tight cluster around 1320-1519 tweets (top bins at 11.2% for 1400-1439, 9.9% for 1320-1359, 9.8% for 1360-1399), extrapolating his consistent 40-50 posts per day from late March's pace—evident in resolved weekly markets like March 24-31 (280-340 expected) and ongoing FSD buzz driving engagement. This closely matched field underscores competitive dynamics shaped by daily fluctuations: viral Tesla or xAI announcements could spike toward 1500+, while travel or launches might dip below 1300. March's projected 1350 total sets the baseline, with no verified slowdowns amid his role as pop culture provocateur, though unpredictable news cycles keep odds fragmented ahead of April's first week.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's April 2026 X posting volume in a tight cluster around 1320-1519 tweets (top bins at 11.2% for 1400-1439, 9.9% for 1320-1359, 9.8% for 1360-1399), extrapolating his consistent 40-50 posts per day from late March's pace—evident in resolved weekly markets like March 24-31 (280-340 expected) and ongoing FSD buzz driving engagement. This closely matched field underscores competitive dynamics shaped by daily fluctuations: viral Tesla or xAI announcements could spike toward 1500+, while travel or launches might dip below 1300. March's projected 1350 total sets the baseline, with no verified slowdowns amid his role as pop culture provocateur, though unpredictable news cycles keep odds fragmented ahead of April's first week.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's April 2026 X posting volume in a tight cluster around 1320-1519 tweets (top bins at 11.2% for 1400-1439, 9.9% for 1320-1359, 9.8% for 1360-1399), extrapolating his consistent 40-50 posts per day from late March's pace—evident in resolved weekly markets like March 24-31 (280-340 expected) and ongoing FSD buzz driving engagement. This closely matched field underscores competitive dynamics shaped by daily fluctuations: viral Tesla or xAI announcements could spike toward 1500+, while travel or launches might dip below 1300. March's projected 1350 total sets the baseline, with no verified slowdowns amid his role as pop culture provocateur, though unpredictable news cycles keep odds fragmented ahead of April's first week.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's April 2026 X posting volume in a tight cluster around 1320-1519 tweets (top bins at 11.2% for 1400-1439, 9.9% for 1320-1359, 9.8% for 1360-1399), extrapolating his consistent 40-50 posts per day from late March's pace—evident in resolved weekly markets like March 24-31 (280-340 expected) and ongoing FSD buzz driving engagement. This closely matched field underscores competitive dynamics shaped by daily fluctuations: viral Tesla or xAI announcements could spike toward 1500+, while travel or launches might dip below 1300. March's projected 1350 total sets the baseline, with no verified slowdowns amid his role as pop culture provocateur, though unpredictable news cycles keep odds fragmented ahead of April's first week.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「Elon Musk Muskが2026年4月にツイートしましたか?」はPolymarket上の66+個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「1400〜1439」で11%、次いで「1320〜1359」が10%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、11¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に11%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Elon Musk Muskが2026年4月にツイートしましたか?」は$4.4 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Feb 24, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Elon Musk Muskが2026年4月にツイートしましたか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている66+個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Elon Musk Muskが2026年4月にツイートしましたか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「1400〜1439」で11%であり、市場がこの結果に11%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「1320〜1359」で10%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Elon Musk Muskが2026年4月にツイートしましたか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。