Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 89.5% implied probability against West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil surpassing its all-time high of $410 per barrel—set in December 2025—by April 30, driven by current spot levels hovering near $99/bbl despite a recent 6% rally fueled by Iran conflict escalation and Strait of Hormuz disruption fears. Countervailing forces include OPEC+'s planned 206,000 barrels per day output increase starting this month, a surprise 5.5 million barrel build in U.S. crude inventories for the week ended March 27, and downward revisions to 2026 global demand growth amid subdued Chinese consumption. Key catalysts ahead: weekly EIA inventory reports and any Middle East de-escalation signals, though parabolic surge barriers remain formidable absent supply shocks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日新規
$24,849 Vol.
新規
$24,849 Vol.
2026/04/30
新規
$24,849 Vol.
新規
$24,849 Vol.
2026/04/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 89.5% implied probability against West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil surpassing its all-time high of $410 per barrel—set in December 2025—by April 30, driven by current spot levels hovering near $99/bbl despite a recent 6% rally fueled by Iran conflict escalation and Strait of Hormuz disruption fears. Countervailing forces include OPEC+'s planned 206,000 barrels per day output increase starting this month, a surprise 5.5 million barrel build in U.S. crude inventories for the week ended March 27, and downward revisions to 2026 global demand growth amid subdued Chinese consumption. Key catalysts ahead: weekly EIA inventory reports and any Middle East de-escalation signals, though parabolic surge barriers remain formidable absent supply shocks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
マーケット開始日： Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
音量
$24,849終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 89.5% implied probability against West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil surpassing its all-time high of $410 per barrel—set in December 2025—by April 30, driven by current spot levels hovering near $99/bbl despite a recent 6% rally fueled by Iran conflict escalation and Strait of Hormuz disruption fears. Countervailing forces include OPEC+'s planned 206,000 barrels per day output increase starting this month, a surprise 5.5 million barrel build in U.S. crude inventories for the week ended March 27, and downward revisions to 2026 global demand growth amid subdued Chinese consumption. Key catalysts ahead: weekly EIA inventory reports and any Middle East de-escalation signals, though parabolic surge barriers remain formidable absent supply shocks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
音量
$24,849終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 89.5% implied probability against West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil surpassing its all-time high of $410 per barrel—set in December 2025—by April 30, driven by current spot levels hovering near $99/bbl despite a recent 6% rally fueled by Iran conflict escalation and Strait of Hormuz disruption fears. Countervailing forces include OPEC+'s planned 206,000 barrels per day output increase starting this month, a surprise 5.5 million barrel build in U.S. crude inventories for the week ended March 27, and downward revisions to 2026 global demand growth amid subdued Chinese consumption. Key catalysts ahead: weekly EIA inventory reports and any Middle East de-escalation signals, though parabolic surge barriers remain formidable absent supply shocks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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