Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86.5% implied probability against West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil reaching its all-time high near $147 per barrel by April 30, reflecting skepticism over sustaining the extreme rally needed from current levels around $106/bbl. Escalating Middle East tensions, including U.S.-Israel strikes on Iran and Strait of Hormuz disruptions, have slashed shipments and shut in Iranian production, propelling WTI up over 60% in March—its sharpest monthly gain since 2022—and 5-6% higher in the last 24 hours to multi-year highs above $106. Yet, abundant non-OPEC supply growth, potential U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases, and analyst forecasts averaging $80-110/bbl for Q2 temper expectations for the 40% surge required. Key catalysts include upcoming OPEC+ meetings and weekly U.S. inventory reports.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日新規
$23,781 Vol.
新規
$23,781 Vol.
2026/04/30
新規
$23,781 Vol.
新規
$23,781 Vol.
2026/04/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86.5% implied probability against West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil reaching its all-time high near $147 per barrel by April 30, reflecting skepticism over sustaining the extreme rally needed from current levels around $106/bbl. Escalating Middle East tensions, including U.S.-Israel strikes on Iran and Strait of Hormuz disruptions, have slashed shipments and shut in Iranian production, propelling WTI up over 60% in March—its sharpest monthly gain since 2022—and 5-6% higher in the last 24 hours to multi-year highs above $106. Yet, abundant non-OPEC supply growth, potential U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases, and analyst forecasts averaging $80-110/bbl for Q2 temper expectations for the 40% surge required. Key catalysts include upcoming OPEC+ meetings and weekly U.S. inventory reports.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
マーケット開始日： Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
音量
$23,781終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86.5% implied probability against West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil reaching its all-time high near $147 per barrel by April 30, reflecting skepticism over sustaining the extreme rally needed from current levels around $106/bbl. Escalating Middle East tensions, including U.S.-Israel strikes on Iran and Strait of Hormuz disruptions, have slashed shipments and shut in Iranian production, propelling WTI up over 60% in March—its sharpest monthly gain since 2022—and 5-6% higher in the last 24 hours to multi-year highs above $106. Yet, abundant non-OPEC supply growth, potential U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases, and analyst forecasts averaging $80-110/bbl for Q2 temper expectations for the 40% surge required. Key catalysts include upcoming OPEC+ meetings and weekly U.S. inventory reports.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
音量
$23,781終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86.5% implied probability against West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil reaching its all-time high near $147 per barrel by April 30, reflecting skepticism over sustaining the extreme rally needed from current levels around $106/bbl. Escalating Middle East tensions, including U.S.-Israel strikes on Iran and Strait of Hormuz disruptions, have slashed shipments and shut in Iranian production, propelling WTI up over 60% in March—its sharpest monthly gain since 2022—and 5-6% higher in the last 24 hours to multi-year highs above $106. Yet, abundant non-OPEC supply growth, potential U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases, and analyst forecasts averaging $80-110/bbl for Q2 temper expectations for the 40% surge required. Key catalysts include upcoming OPEC+ meetings and weekly U.S. inventory reports.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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