Incumbent Gil Cisneros benefits from a heavily Democratic district in California's Inland Empire, where recent redistricting and consistent voter registration advantages have produced solid partisan leans. Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the June 2 primary and November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural edge, low Republican fundraising, and the absence of competitive challengers capable of narrowing the margin. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected primary upset, a major national political realignment, or late developments involving candidate health or conduct, though historical patterns in comparable districts show limited impact on the general election outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
6%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$4,300 Vol.
93%
共和党
$3,113 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Gil Cisneros benefits from a heavily Democratic district in California's Inland Empire, where recent redistricting and consistent voter registration advantages have produced solid partisan leans. Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the June 2 primary and November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural edge, low Republican fundraising, and the absence of competitive challengers capable of narrowing the margin. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected primary upset, a major national political realignment, or late developments involving candidate health or conduct, though historical patterns in comparable districts show limited impact on the general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
音量
$7,413終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Gil Cisneros benefits from a heavily Democratic district in California's Inland Empire, where recent redistricting and consistent voter registration advantages have produced solid partisan leans. Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the June 2 primary and November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural edge, low Republican fundraising, and the absence of competitive challengers capable of narrowing the margin. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected primary upset, a major national political realignment, or late developments involving candidate health or conduct, though historical patterns in comparable districts show limited impact on the general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$7,413終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Gil Cisneros benefits from a heavily Democratic district in California's Inland Empire, where recent redistricting and consistent voter registration advantages have produced solid partisan leans. Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the June 2 primary and November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural edge, low Republican fundraising, and the absence of competitive challengers capable of narrowing the margin. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected primary upset, a major national political realignment, or late developments involving candidate health or conduct, though historical patterns in comparable districts show limited impact on the general election outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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