Democratic incumbent Gil Cisneros secured the party's nomination in the June 2, 2026 primary with a commanding share of the vote against Republican challengers, advancing to the November general election in California's 31st congressional district. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with its voter registration patterns and historical performance in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns overwhelming probability to a Democratic victory, driven by the district's partisan composition and the absence of competitive developments since the primary. A Republican upset would require substantial shifts in turnout or national conditions that have not materialized in comparable California districts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$10,015 Vol.
$10,015 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$10,015 Vol.
$10,015 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$6,902 Vol.
95%
共和党
$3,113 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Gil Cisneros secured the party's nomination in the June 2, 2026 primary with a commanding share of the vote against Republican challengers, advancing to the November general election in California's 31st congressional district. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with its voter registration patterns and historical performance in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns overwhelming probability to a Democratic victory, driven by the district's partisan composition and the absence of competitive developments since the primary. A Republican upset would require substantial shifts in turnout or national conditions that have not materialized in comparable California districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
音量
$10,015終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Gil Cisneros secured the party's nomination in the June 2, 2026 primary with a commanding share of the vote against Republican challengers, advancing to the November general election in California's 31st congressional district. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with its voter registration patterns and historical performance in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns overwhelming probability to a Democratic victory, driven by the district's partisan composition and the absence of competitive developments since the primary. A Republican upset would require substantial shifts in turnout or national conditions that have not materialized in comparable California districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$10,015終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Gil Cisneros secured the party's nomination in the June 2, 2026 primary with a commanding share of the vote against Republican challengers, advancing to the November general election in California's 31st congressional district. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with its voter registration patterns and historical performance in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns overwhelming probability to a Democratic victory, driven by the district's partisan composition and the absence of competitive developments since the primary. A Republican upset would require substantial shifts in turnout or national conditions that have not materialized in comparable California districts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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