Market icon

2025年第4四半期のブラジルのGDP成長率は?

Market icon

2025年第4四半期のブラジルのGDP成長率は?

1.6%~1.9% 100.0%

0.4%未満 <1%

0.4%~0.7% <1%

0.8%~1.1% <1%

Polymarket

$6,924 Vol.

1.6%~1.9% 100.0%

0.4%未満 <1%

0.4%~0.7% <1%

0.8%~1.1% <1%

Polymarket

$6,924 Vol.

0.4%未満

$2,205 Vol.

いいえ

0.4%~0.7%

$527 Vol.

いいえ

0.8%~1.1%

$742 Vol.

いいえ

1.2%~1.5%

$974 Vol.

いいえ

1.6%~1.9%

$1,010 Vol.

はい

2.0%~2.3%

$816 Vol.

いいえ

2.4%以上

$651 Vol.

いいえ

This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year (%) in the 4th quarter of 2025, as reported in the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q4 of 2025, scheduled for release on March 03, 2026.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html

If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.

Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the same quarter of the previous year to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
音量
$6,924
終了日
Mar 3, 2026
マーケット開始日
Feb 4, 2026, 5:28 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year (%) in the 4th quarter of 2025, as reported in the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q4 of 2025, scheduled for release on March 03, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the same quarter of the previous year to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2025年第4四半期のブラジルのGDP成長率は?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1.6%~1.9%" at 100%, followed by "0.4%未満" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2025年第4四半期のブラジルのGDP成長率は?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2025年第4四半期のブラジルのGDP成長率は?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2025年第4四半期のブラジルのGDP成長率は?" is "1.6%~1.9%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "0.4%未満" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2025年第4四半期のブラジルのGDP成長率は?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.