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3月31日までにMaduro GRABを率いるデルタフォース司令官をドキシングした罪で起訴された人はいますか?

Market icon

3月31日までにMaduro GRABを率いるデルタフォース司令官をドキシングした罪で起訴された人はいますか?

はい

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$4,406 Vol.

はい

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$4,406 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any federal or state jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual in connection with the alleged doxing of the Delta Force commander associated with Operation Absolute Resolve by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market, “charged” includes the filing of criminal charges, indictments, or the unsealing of a criminal complaint. Civil lawsuits alone do not qualify. For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a U.S. state shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Journalist Seth Harp's early January 2026 X post identifying the Delta Force commander involved in the US operation capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro sparked doxing accusations from Rep. Anna Paulina Luna, who secured a House Oversight Committee subpoena and referred the matter to the Department of Justice for potential criminal charges. Despite this political pressure, the DOJ has filed no indictment or prosecution by the March 31 deadline, reflecting robust First Amendment protections for publishing publicly available military biographies and pushback from press freedom groups. A bipartisan bill to criminalize future special forces doxing does not apply retroactively. Traders' unanimous 100% "No" consensus stems from the absence of legal action over nearly three months, with slim odds of late-breaking charges absent new evidence or policy shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any federal or state jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual in connection with the alleged doxing of the Delta Force commander associated with Operation Absolute Resolve by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

For the purposes of this market, “charged” includes the filing of criminal charges, indictments, or the unsealing of a criminal complaint. Civil lawsuits alone do not qualify.

For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a U.S. state shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$4,406
終了日
2026/03/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 8, 2026, 6:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any federal or state jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual in connection with the alleged doxing of the Delta Force commander associated with Operation Absolute Resolve by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market, “charged” includes the filing of criminal charges, indictments, or the unsealing of a criminal complaint. Civil lawsuits alone do not qualify. For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a U.S. state shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any federal or state jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual in connection with the alleged doxing of the Delta Force commander associated with Operation Absolute Resolve by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market, “charged” includes the filing of criminal charges, indictments, or the unsealing of a criminal complaint. Civil lawsuits alone do not qualify. For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a U.S. state shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Journalist Seth Harp's early January 2026 X post identifying the Delta Force commander involved in the US operation capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro sparked doxing accusations from Rep. Anna Paulina Luna, who secured a House Oversight Committee subpoena and referred the matter to the Department of Justice for potential criminal charges. Despite this political pressure, the DOJ has filed no indictment or prosecution by the March 31 deadline, reflecting robust First Amendment protections for publishing publicly available military biographies and pushback from press freedom groups. A bipartisan bill to criminalize future special forces doxing does not apply retroactively. Traders' unanimous 100% "No" consensus stems from the absence of legal action over nearly three months, with slim odds of late-breaking charges absent new evidence or policy shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any federal or state jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual in connection with the alleged doxing of the Delta Force commander associated with Operation Absolute Resolve by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

For the purposes of this market, “charged” includes the filing of criminal charges, indictments, or the unsealing of a criminal complaint. Civil lawsuits alone do not qualify.

For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a U.S. state shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$4,406
終了日
2026/03/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 8, 2026, 6:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any federal or state jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual in connection with the alleged doxing of the Delta Force commander associated with Operation Absolute Resolve by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market, “charged” includes the filing of criminal charges, indictments, or the unsealing of a criminal complaint. Civil lawsuits alone do not qualify. For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a U.S. state shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「3月31日までにMaduro GRABを率いるデルタフォース司令官をドキシングした罪で起訴された人はいますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「3月31日までに、デルタフォース司令官のマドゥロ拘束作戦に関してドクシングで告発された者はいますか?」で0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、0¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に0%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「3月31日までにMaduro GRABを率いるデルタフォース司令官をドキシングした罪で起訴された人はいますか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jan 8, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「3月31日までにMaduro GRABを率いるデルタフォース司令官をドキシングした罪で起訴された人はいますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「3月31日までにMaduro GRABを率いるデルタフォース司令官をドキシングした罪で起訴された人はいますか?」の現在のリーダーは「3月31日までに、デルタフォース司令官のマドゥロ拘束作戦に関してドクシングで告発された者はいますか?」でわずか0%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

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