Trader consensus assigns a 99.9% implied probability to no meeting between Putin and Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026, driven by irreconcilable preconditions amid Russia's protracted invasion of Ukraine. Zelenskyy demands full Russian troop withdrawal and restoration of 1991 borders as prerequisites for talks, while Putin requires Ukrainian recognition of annexed territories, demilitarization, and neutrality—positions reinforced by recent escalations like North Korean troop deployments to frontline areas and ongoing clashes in Donbas and Kursk. No direct bilateral diplomacy has materialized since February 2022, with indirect channels via Turkey or European mediators stalling over core disputes. Realistic shifts could stem from a surprise ceasefire, leadership transitions, or intensified US-led pressure post-election, though traders discount these before the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
$2,479,666 Vol.
$2,479,666 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Oui
$2,479,666 Vol.
$2,479,666 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between this market's creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus assigns a 99.9% implied probability to no meeting between Putin and Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026, driven by irreconcilable preconditions amid Russia's protracted invasion of Ukraine. Zelenskyy demands full Russian troop withdrawal and restoration of 1991 borders as prerequisites for talks, while Putin requires Ukrainian recognition of annexed territories, demilitarization, and neutrality—positions reinforced by recent escalations like North Korean troop deployments to frontline areas and ongoing clashes in Donbas and Kursk. No direct bilateral diplomacy has materialized since February 2022, with indirect channels via Turkey or European mediators stalling over core disputes. Realistic shifts could stem from a surprise ceasefire, leadership transitions, or intensified US-led pressure post-election, though traders discount these before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between this market's creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Dec 11, 2025, 7:32 PM ET
Volume
$2,479,666Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 11, 2025, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between this market's creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus assigns a 99.9% implied probability to no meeting between Putin and Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026, driven by irreconcilable preconditions amid Russia's protracted invasion of Ukraine. Zelenskyy demands full Russian troop withdrawal and restoration of 1991 borders as prerequisites for talks, while Putin requires Ukrainian recognition of annexed territories, demilitarization, and neutrality—positions reinforced by recent escalations like North Korean troop deployments to frontline areas and ongoing clashes in Donbas and Kursk. No direct bilateral diplomacy has materialized since February 2022, with indirect channels via Turkey or European mediators stalling over core disputes. Realistic shifts could stem from a surprise ceasefire, leadership transitions, or intensified US-led pressure post-election, though traders discount these before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between this market's creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,479,666Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 11, 2025, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus assigns a 99.9% implied probability to no meeting between Putin and Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026, driven by irreconcilable preconditions amid Russia's protracted invasion of Ukraine. Zelenskyy demands full Russian troop withdrawal and restoration of 1991 borders as prerequisites for talks, while Putin requires Ukrainian recognition of annexed territories, demilitarization, and neutrality—positions reinforced by recent escalations like North Korean troop deployments to frontline areas and ongoing clashes in Donbas and Kursk. No direct bilateral diplomacy has materialized since February 2022, with indirect channels via Turkey or European mediators stalling over core disputes. Realistic shifts could stem from a surprise ceasefire, leadership transitions, or intensified US-led pressure post-election, though traders discount these before the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes