Trader consensus prices "No" at 95% for a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30, driven by the absence of any credible reports of internal dissent, military plotting, or political upheaval against President Zelenskyy. Under extended martial law amid Russia's ongoing invasion, Ukraine's government maintains tight control, with elections suspended and security forces focused on frontline defense rather than domestic threats. Recent weeks saw no resignations, defections, or public challenges from key figures like military commander Oleksandr Syrskyi, while Zelenskyy's approval holds firm above 60% per polls, supported by steady Western aid. Russian claims of imminent coups remain unsubstantiated propaganda, leaving traders confident in regime stability through the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
Oui
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 95% for a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30, driven by the absence of any credible reports of internal dissent, military plotting, or political upheaval against President Zelenskyy. Under extended martial law amid Russia's ongoing invasion, Ukraine's government maintains tight control, with elections suspended and security forces focused on frontline defense rather than domestic threats. Recent weeks saw no resignations, defections, or public challenges from key figures like military commander Oleksandr Syrskyi, while Zelenskyy's approval holds firm above 60% per polls, supported by steady Western aid. Russian claims of imminent coups remain unsubstantiated propaganda, leaving traders confident in regime stability through the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes