Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has repeatedly reaffirmed Kyiv's refusal to cede any territory to Russia, most recently resisting reported U.S. pressure under the Trump administration to relinquish the Donbas region as a precondition for security guarantees and ceasefire in ongoing peace talks. Secretary of State Marco Rubio clarified on March 27 that guarantees would only apply post-war, implying concessions are needed to end hostilities, but Zelenskyy labeled this as undue pressure on Ukraine rather than Moscow. With Russian demands remaining maximalist—including full control over annexed areas—and no compromise reached in recent negotiation rounds, trader consensus reflects low odds of agreement before 2027 amid Ukraine's firm stance on territorial integrity and continued European support against concessions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourL'Ukraine acceptera-t-elle de céder des territoires à la Russie avant 2027 ?
L'Ukraine acceptera-t-elle de céder des territoires à la Russie avant 2027 ?
Oui
$525,109 Vol.
$525,109 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Oui
$525,109 Vol.
$525,109 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede any territory under its control at the time of the agreement is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify.
If a territorial adjustment is made as part of a mutual border demarcation process or technical boundary agreement that does not materially alter de facto control or reflect a broader territorial concession, it will not qualify for a 'Yes' resolution unless it is reported as a territorial concession by a consensus of credible reporting.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of territory held by Ukraine will qualify regardless of whether Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has repeatedly reaffirmed Kyiv's refusal to cede any territory to Russia, most recently resisting reported U.S. pressure under the Trump administration to relinquish the Donbas region as a precondition for security guarantees and ceasefire in ongoing peace talks. Secretary of State Marco Rubio clarified on March 27 that guarantees would only apply post-war, implying concessions are needed to end hostilities, but Zelenskyy labeled this as undue pressure on Ukraine rather than Moscow. With Russian demands remaining maximalist—including full control over annexed areas—and no compromise reached in recent negotiation rounds, trader consensus reflects low odds of agreement before 2027 amid Ukraine's firm stance on territorial integrity and continued European support against concessions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede any territory under its control at the time of the agreement is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify.
If a territorial adjustment is made as part of a mutual border demarcation process or technical boundary agreement that does not materially alter de facto control or reflect a broader territorial concession, it will not qualify for a 'Yes' resolution unless it is reported as a territorial concession by a consensus of credible reporting.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of territory held by Ukraine will qualify regardless of whether Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify.
If a territorial adjustment is made as part of a mutual border demarcation process or technical boundary agreement that does not materially alter de facto control or reflect a broader territorial concession, it will not qualify for a 'Yes' resolution unless it is reported as a territorial concession by a consensus of credible reporting.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of territory held by Ukraine will qualify regardless of whether Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Marché ouvert : Nov 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
Volume
$525,109Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede any territory under its control at the time of the agreement is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify.
If a territorial adjustment is made as part of a mutual border demarcation process or technical boundary agreement that does not materially alter de facto control or reflect a broader territorial concession, it will not qualify for a 'Yes' resolution unless it is reported as a territorial concession by a consensus of credible reporting.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of territory held by Ukraine will qualify regardless of whether Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has repeatedly reaffirmed Kyiv's refusal to cede any territory to Russia, most recently resisting reported U.S. pressure under the Trump administration to relinquish the Donbas region as a precondition for security guarantees and ceasefire in ongoing peace talks. Secretary of State Marco Rubio clarified on March 27 that guarantees would only apply post-war, implying concessions are needed to end hostilities, but Zelenskyy labeled this as undue pressure on Ukraine rather than Moscow. With Russian demands remaining maximalist—including full control over annexed areas—and no compromise reached in recent negotiation rounds, trader consensus reflects low odds of agreement before 2027 amid Ukraine's firm stance on territorial integrity and continued European support against concessions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede any territory under its control at the time of the agreement is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify.
If a territorial adjustment is made as part of a mutual border demarcation process or technical boundary agreement that does not materially alter de facto control or reflect a broader territorial concession, it will not qualify for a 'Yes' resolution unless it is reported as a territorial concession by a consensus of credible reporting.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of territory held by Ukraine will qualify regardless of whether Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify.
If a territorial adjustment is made as part of a mutual border demarcation process or technical boundary agreement that does not materially alter de facto control or reflect a broader territorial concession, it will not qualify for a 'Yes' resolution unless it is reported as a territorial concession by a consensus of credible reporting.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of territory held by Ukraine will qualify regardless of whether Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$525,109Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has repeatedly reaffirmed Kyiv's refusal to cede any territory to Russia, most recently resisting reported U.S. pressure under the Trump administration to relinquish the Donbas region as a precondition for security guarantees and ceasefire in ongoing peace talks. Secretary of State Marco Rubio clarified on March 27 that guarantees would only apply post-war, implying concessions are needed to end hostilities, but Zelenskyy labeled this as undue pressure on Ukraine rather than Moscow. With Russian demands remaining maximalist—including full control over annexed areas—and no compromise reached in recent negotiation rounds, trader consensus reflects low odds of agreement before 2027 amid Ukraine's firm stance on territorial integrity and continued European support against concessions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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