The absence of credible peace talks amid Russia's recent territorial gains in Donetsk and Ukraine's fortified defenses drives the 85% implied probability on "No" for the Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay, reflecting trader consensus on prolonged stalemate. Russia's "recent form" shows sustained artillery barrages and North Korean troop reinforcements bolstering their frontline momentum, while Ukraine's counteroffensives face "injury" setbacks from manpower shortages and delayed Western aid. Matchup dynamics favor Russia's resource depth over Ukraine's resilient underdog grit, with no offside calls for diplomacy—echoing historic rivalries where momentum shifts rarely yield truces before decisive blows. Crowds price in low upset odds for resolution soon.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
$381,237 Vol.
$381,237 Vol.
Oui
$381,237 Vol.
$381,237 Vol.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Marché ouvert : Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The absence of credible peace talks amid Russia's recent territorial gains in Donetsk and Ukraine's fortified defenses drives the 85% implied probability on "No" for the Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay, reflecting trader consensus on prolonged stalemate. Russia's "recent form" shows sustained artillery barrages and North Korean troop reinforcements bolstering their frontline momentum, while Ukraine's counteroffensives face "injury" setbacks from manpower shortages and delayed Western aid. Matchup dynamics favor Russia's resource depth over Ukraine's resilient underdog grit, with no offside calls for diplomacy—echoing historic rivalries where momentum shifts rarely yield truces before decisive blows. Crowds price in low upset odds for resolution soon.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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