Putin’s explicit rejection this week of Zelenskyy’s open letter proposing direct talks has reinforced trader expectations that no bilateral meeting will occur by the June 30 deadline. Russia continues to insist military objectives must be met before negotiations advance, while US-brokered trilateral efforts remain stalled amid competing priorities in the Iran conflict. The absence of any scheduled leader-level engagement or verifiable diplomatic breakthrough in recent months has produced the current 97.8% implied probability for “No.” A sudden shift in Moscow’s position, intensified external pressure yielding a rapid third-country summit, or major battlefield developments altering incentives could still alter the outcome before month-end, though the short timeline and entrenched positions limit realistic pathways.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$316,316 Vol.
$316,316 Vol.
Oui
$316,316 Vol.
$316,316 Vol.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Sep 23, 2025, 5:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Putin’s explicit rejection this week of Zelenskyy’s open letter proposing direct talks has reinforced trader expectations that no bilateral meeting will occur by the June 30 deadline. Russia continues to insist military objectives must be met before negotiations advance, while US-brokered trilateral efforts remain stalled amid competing priorities in the Iran conflict. The absence of any scheduled leader-level engagement or verifiable diplomatic breakthrough in recent months has produced the current 97.8% implied probability for “No.” A sudden shift in Moscow’s position, intensified external pressure yielding a rapid third-country summit, or major battlefield developments altering incentives could still alter the outcome before month-end, though the short timeline and entrenched positions limit realistic pathways.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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