Trader consensus reflects a 94.5% implied probability against Putin meeting Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026, anchored by entrenched diplomatic standoffs and escalating hostilities in the Russia-Ukraine war. Zelenskyy insists on full Russian troop withdrawal as a precondition for talks, while Putin demands recognition of annexed territories like Crimea and Donbas, alongside Ukraine's permanent neutrality. No direct negotiations or summits have materialized in the past 30 days, with recent developments—including Ukraine's ongoing Kursk incursion, North Korean troop reinforcements in Russia, and intensified drone and missile exchanges—signaling de-escalation barriers rather than progress. U.S. President-elect Trump's peace pledges have spurred speculation but yielded no verified diplomatic channels, leaving mutual distrust and battlefield stalemate as dominant factors; only a major ceasefire or multilateral intervention could alter this trajectory.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
$151,263 Vol.
$151,263 Vol.
Oui
$151,263 Vol.
$151,263 Vol.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Sep 23, 2025, 5:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects a 94.5% implied probability against Putin meeting Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026, anchored by entrenched diplomatic standoffs and escalating hostilities in the Russia-Ukraine war. Zelenskyy insists on full Russian troop withdrawal as a precondition for talks, while Putin demands recognition of annexed territories like Crimea and Donbas, alongside Ukraine's permanent neutrality. No direct negotiations or summits have materialized in the past 30 days, with recent developments—including Ukraine's ongoing Kursk incursion, North Korean troop reinforcements in Russia, and intensified drone and missile exchanges—signaling de-escalation barriers rather than progress. U.S. President-elect Trump's peace pledges have spurred speculation but yielded no verified diplomatic channels, leaving mutual distrust and battlefield stalemate as dominant factors; only a major ceasefire or multilateral intervention could alter this trajectory.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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