Trader consensus favors Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at 67% implied probability for the first confirmed April conversation with President Trump, driven by the ongoing Iran conflict and U.S. pause on strikes against Iranian energy infrastructure until April 6 to enable negotiations over the Strait of Hormuz blockade. High odds on NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte (64%) and UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer (65%) reflect expectations of alliance coordination amid escalation risks, while French President Emmanuel Macron (62%) and Brazilian President Lula da Silva (59%) trail closely. Xi Jinping sits lower at 37% following White House confirmation of a delayed Beijing summit to May 14-15 due to Iran priorities. No official April schedule is announced, with the April 6 deadline a key catalyst for diplomatic outreach.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$10,383 Vol.

Mark Rutte
73%

Mohammed bin Salman
68%

Emmanuel Macron
65%

Keir Starmer
65%

Lula da Silva
59%

Friedrich Merz
57%

Vladimir Putin
54%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
53%

Ursula von der Leyen
52%

Elon Musk
50%

Mark Carney
48%

Xi Jinping
37%

Maria Corina Machado
28%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
14%

Nicolás Maduro
6%

Kim Jong Un
5%

Reza Pahlavi
23%

Masoud Pezeshkian
12%

Yoon Suk Yeol
3%
$10,383 Vol.

Mark Rutte
73%

Mohammed bin Salman
68%

Emmanuel Macron
65%

Keir Starmer
65%

Lula da Silva
59%

Friedrich Merz
57%

Vladimir Putin
54%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
53%

Ursula von der Leyen
52%

Elon Musk
50%

Mark Carney
48%

Xi Jinping
37%

Maria Corina Machado
28%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
14%

Nicolás Maduro
6%

Kim Jong Un
5%

Reza Pahlavi
23%

Masoud Pezeshkian
12%

Yoon Suk Yeol
3%
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at 67% implied probability for the first confirmed April conversation with President Trump, driven by the ongoing Iran conflict and U.S. pause on strikes against Iranian energy infrastructure until April 6 to enable negotiations over the Strait of Hormuz blockade. High odds on NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte (64%) and UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer (65%) reflect expectations of alliance coordination amid escalation risks, while French President Emmanuel Macron (62%) and Brazilian President Lula da Silva (59%) trail closely. Xi Jinping sits lower at 37% following White House confirmation of a delayed Beijing summit to May 14-15 due to Iran priorities. No official April schedule is announced, with the April 6 deadline a key catalyst for diplomatic outreach.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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