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Politique·Trump

Qui Trump pardonnera-t-il avant 2027 ?

Market icon
Politique·Trump

Qui Trump pardonnera-t-il avant 2027 ?

$133,211 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$133,211 Vol.

Polymarket

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President-elect Donald Trump wields broad Article II pardon power for federal offenses upon his January 20, 2025, inauguration, extending through his term ending in 2029. Trader sentiment centers on his repeated pledges for mass clemency toward January 6 defendants, whom he terms "J6 hostages," as reiterated in late December Fox News interviews promising pardons for most except those committing "heinous acts." Allies facing federal cases, including Rudy Giuliani (defamation and election interference), Steve Bannon (contempt), and Peter Navarro (contempt), drive speculation after Trump's signals of consideration. No official list announced; upcoming transition briefings and early executive orders could catalyze shifts, with historical precedent showing rapid Day One pardons possible.

President-elect Donald Trump wields broad Article II pardon power for federal offenses upon his January 20, 2025, inauguration, extending through his term ending in 2029. Trader sentiment centers on his repeated pledges for mass clemency toward January 6 defendants, whom he terms "J6 hostages," as reiterated in late December Fox News interviews promising pardons for most except those committing "heinous acts." Allies facing federal cases, including Rudy Giuliani (defamation and election interference), Steve Bannon (contempt), and Peter Navarro (contempt), drive speculation after Trump's signals of consideration. No official list announced; upcoming transition briefings and early executive orders could catalyze shifts, with historical precedent showing rapid Day One pardons possible.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President-elect Donald Trump wields broad Article II pardon power for federal offenses upon his January 20, 2025, inauguration, extending through his term ending in 2029. Trader sentiment centers on his repeated pledges for mass clemency toward January 6 defendants, whom he terms "J6 hostages," as reiterated in late December Fox News interviews promising pardons for most except those committing "heinous acts." Allies facing federal cases, including Rudy Giuliani (defamation and election interference), Steve Bannon (contempt), and Peter Navarro (contempt), drive speculation after Trump's signals of consideration. No official list announced; upcoming transition briefings and early executive orders could catalyze shifts, with historical precedent showing rapid Day One pardons possible.

President-elect Donald Trump wields broad Article II pardon power for federal offenses upon his January 20, 2025, inauguration, extending through his term ending in 2029. Trader sentiment centers on his repeated pledges for mass clemency toward January 6 defendants, whom he terms "J6 hostages," as reiterated in late December Fox News interviews promising pardons for most except those committing "heinous acts." Allies facing federal cases, including Rudy Giuliani (defamation and election interference), Steve Bannon (contempt), and Peter Navarro (contempt), drive speculation after Trump's signals of consideration. No official list announced; upcoming transition briefings and early executive orders could catalyze shifts, with historical precedent showing rapid Day One pardons possible.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Qui Trump pardonnera-t-il avant 2027 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 27 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Donald Brodie » à 56%, suivi de « Stefan Brodie » à 54%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 56¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 56% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Qui Trump pardonnera-t-il avant 2027 ? » a généré $133.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 18, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Qui Trump pardonnera-t-il avant 2027 ? », parcourez les 27 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Qui Trump pardonnera-t-il avant 2027 ? » est « Donald Brodie » à 56%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 56% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Stefan Brodie » à 54%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Qui Trump pardonnera-t-il avant 2027 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.