Market icon

Qui sera le premier à quitter le cabinet Trump ?

Market icon

Qui sera le premier à quitter le cabinet Trump ?

Stephen Miran 100.0%

J.D. Vance <1%

Scott Bessent <1%

Pam Bondi <1%

Polymarket

$3,208,268 Vol.

Stephen Miran 100.0%

J.D. Vance <1%

Scott Bessent <1%

Pam Bondi <1%

Polymarket

$3,208,268 Vol.

J.D. Vance

$110,819 Vol.

Non

Scott Bessent

$61,829 Vol.

Non

Pam Bondi

$450,324 Vol.

Non

Brooke Rollins

$45,287 Vol.

Non

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

$131,650 Vol.

Non

Scott Turner

$137,970 Vol.

Non

Chris Wright

$49,351 Vol.

Non

Doug Collins

$134,704 Vol.

Non

Lee Zeldin

$85,056 Vol.

Non

Tulsi Gabbard

$82,861 Vol.

Non

John Ratcliffe

$144,150 Vol.

Non

Mike Waltz

$67,347 Vol.

Non

Kelly Loeffler

$77,870 Vol.

Non

Aucun avant 2027

$209,248 Vol.

Non

Marco Rubio

$114,485 Vol.

Non

Pete Hegseth

$156,483 Vol.

Non

Doug Burgum

$145,164 Vol.

Non

Howard Lutnick

$142,348 Vol.

Non

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$55,069 Vol.

Non

Sean Duffy

$101,115 Vol.

Non

Linda McMahon

$52,725 Vol.

Non

Kristi Noem

$299,942 Vol.

Non

Susie Wiles

$66,208 Vol.

Non

Russell T. Vought

$81,913 Vol.

Non

Jamieson Greer

$96,863 Vol.

Non

Stephen Miran

$107,487 Vol.

Oui

This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.

An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.

If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.

For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.

An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.

If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Volume
$3,208,268
Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect. If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically. For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market. An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role. If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Qui sera le premier à quitter le cabinet Trump ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 26 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Stephen Miran » à 100%, suivi de « J.D. Vance » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Qui sera le premier à quitter le cabinet Trump ? » a généré $3.2 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Dec 5, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Qui sera le premier à quitter le cabinet Trump ? », parcourez les 26 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Qui sera le premier à quitter le cabinet Trump ? » est « Stephen Miran » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « J.D. Vance » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Qui sera le premier à quitter le cabinet Trump ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.