Mojtaba Khamenei assumed the role of Iran's Supreme Leader on March 8, 2026, succeeding his father Ali amid U.S. military strikes under Operation Epic Fury targeting Iranian assets, including control over the Strait of Hormuz. President Trump has repeatedly dismissed the appointment as a "big mistake," questioned Khamenei's survival or fitness in recent addresses—including a prime-time speech declaring the operation nearing completion—and confirmed U.S. indirect talks with Tehran representatives but explicitly denied direct contact with the new leader. Khamenei's sole public message on March 30 urged continued "resistance" against U.S. actions. These hardened stances amid ongoing escalation explain trader skepticism for any Trump-Khamenei dialogue by June 30, though de-escalation signals or backchannel diplomacy could alter sentiment before the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourTrump parlera-t-il à Mojtaba Khamenei d'ici... ?
Trump parlera-t-il à Mojtaba Khamenei d'ici... ?
$286,443 Vol.
30 avril
2%
30 juin
7%
$286,443 Vol.
30 avril
2%
30 juin
7%
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei assumed the role of Iran's Supreme Leader on March 8, 2026, succeeding his father Ali amid U.S. military strikes under Operation Epic Fury targeting Iranian assets, including control over the Strait of Hormuz. President Trump has repeatedly dismissed the appointment as a "big mistake," questioned Khamenei's survival or fitness in recent addresses—including a prime-time speech declaring the operation nearing completion—and confirmed U.S. indirect talks with Tehran representatives but explicitly denied direct contact with the new leader. Khamenei's sole public message on March 30 urged continued "resistance" against U.S. actions. These hardened stances amid ongoing escalation explain trader skepticism for any Trump-Khamenei dialogue by June 30, though de-escalation signals or backchannel diplomacy could alter sentiment before the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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