President Trump has publicly dismissed Mojtaba Khamenei's March 8 appointment as Iran's Supreme Leader following Ali Khamenei's death, questioning whether he is alive or "in serious trouble" amid U.S. airstrikes and warnings to Tehran for nuclear and ceasefire talks. While Trump confirmed indirect U.S. diplomacy with Iranian officials—including extensions on power plant strikes and G7 discussions—no direct communication with Khamenei has occurred or been announced, despite Trump's insistence on a deal or escalated military action. Iran recently affirmed Khamenei's health amid his low public profile. Traders reflect low implied probabilities on diplomatic barriers, regime tensions, and maximum pressure tactics, with potential catalysts like summits or de-escalation signals ahead of June 30 resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourTrump parlera-t-il à Mojtaba Khamenei d'ici... ?
Trump parlera-t-il à Mojtaba Khamenei d'ici... ?
$283,041 Vol.
30 avril
3%
30 juin
8%
$283,041 Vol.
30 avril
3%
30 juin
8%
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump has publicly dismissed Mojtaba Khamenei's March 8 appointment as Iran's Supreme Leader following Ali Khamenei's death, questioning whether he is alive or "in serious trouble" amid U.S. airstrikes and warnings to Tehran for nuclear and ceasefire talks. While Trump confirmed indirect U.S. diplomacy with Iranian officials—including extensions on power plant strikes and G7 discussions—no direct communication with Khamenei has occurred or been announced, despite Trump's insistence on a deal or escalated military action. Iran recently affirmed Khamenei's health amid his low public profile. Traders reflect low implied probabilities on diplomatic barriers, regime tensions, and maximum pressure tactics, with potential catalysts like summits or de-escalation signals ahead of June 30 resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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