Mojtaba Khamenei, newly appointed Supreme Leader following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in a US-Israel airstrike on February 28, has not made a public appearance for over a month, prompting rumors of injury, medical evacuation to Russia, or exile amid escalating regional conflict. A leaked audio suggested he escaped the fatal strike by seconds, while attributed messages vow continued military actions like blocking the Strait of Hormuz. Russia confirmed today that he remains in Iran but avoids public view for security reasons, countering speculation. Traders monitor for a potential address or further airstrikes that could force relocation, with succession stability hinging on his visibility during ongoing hostilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$755,144 Vol.
March 31
<1%
April 30
3%
31 mai
3%
30 juin
10%
$755,144 Vol.
March 31
<1%
April 30
3%
31 mai
3%
30 juin
10%
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei, newly appointed Supreme Leader following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in a US-Israel airstrike on February 28, has not made a public appearance for over a month, prompting rumors of injury, medical evacuation to Russia, or exile amid escalating regional conflict. A leaked audio suggested he escaped the fatal strike by seconds, while attributed messages vow continued military actions like blocking the Strait of Hormuz. Russia confirmed today that he remains in Iran but avoids public view for security reasons, countering speculation. Traders monitor for a potential address or further airstrikes that could force relocation, with succession stability hinging on his visibility during ongoing hostilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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