President Trump's commitment to weekly domestic travel ahead of the 2026 midterm elections, announced by chief of staff Susie Wiles in January, drives trader sentiment toward high implied probabilities for battleground states like Pennsylvania, Michigan, Ohio, Georgia, and Nevada, where competitive House and Senate races could benefit from his rally appearances. Confirmed visits this year already include Michigan in January, North Carolina and Georgia in February, and Ohio, Kentucky, and Tennessee in March—highlighted by his March 11 Tri-State tour touting TrumpRx prescription drug reforms and boosting a GOP primary challenger to Rep. Thomas Massie. Frequent Florida trips from Mar-a-Lago and nearby Delaware dignified transfers further anchor expectations, with spring primaries and intensifying campaign schedules poised to prompt more announcements through November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$123,026 Vol.
Pennsylvanie
85%
Nevada
91%
Virginie
90%
New Jersey
84%
New York
82%
New Hampshire
76%
Mississippi
63%
Wisconsin
62%
Rhode Island
61%
Alaska
60%
Montana
60%
Alabama
58%
Dakota du Nord
57%
Caroline du Sud
57%
Virginie-Occidentale
57%
Maine
57%
Nouveau-Mexique
55%
Utah
54%
Oklahoma
53%
Nebraska
71%
Californie
51%
Missouri
51%
Illinois
50%
Dakota du Sud
50%
Idaho
50%
Connecticut
49%
Kansas
47%
Indiana
42%
Vermont
28%
Colorado
40%
Washington
25%
Arizona
59%
Hawaï
60%
Massachusetts
51%
Minnesota
63%
Oregon
35%
Arkansas
49%
Louisiane
50%
Wyoming
49%
$123,026 Vol.
Pennsylvanie
85%
Nevada
91%
Virginie
90%
New Jersey
84%
New York
82%
New Hampshire
76%
Mississippi
63%
Wisconsin
62%
Rhode Island
61%
Alaska
60%
Montana
60%
Alabama
58%
Dakota du Nord
57%
Caroline du Sud
57%
Virginie-Occidentale
57%
Maine
57%
Nouveau-Mexique
55%
Utah
54%
Oklahoma
53%
Nebraska
71%
Californie
51%
Missouri
51%
Illinois
50%
Dakota du Sud
50%
Idaho
50%
Connecticut
49%
Kansas
47%
Indiana
42%
Vermont
28%
Colorado
40%
Washington
25%
Arizona
59%
Hawaï
60%
Massachusetts
51%
Minnesota
63%
Oregon
35%
Arkansas
49%
Louisiane
50%
Wyoming
49%
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 1, 2025, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's commitment to weekly domestic travel ahead of the 2026 midterm elections, announced by chief of staff Susie Wiles in January, drives trader sentiment toward high implied probabilities for battleground states like Pennsylvania, Michigan, Ohio, Georgia, and Nevada, where competitive House and Senate races could benefit from his rally appearances. Confirmed visits this year already include Michigan in January, North Carolina and Georgia in February, and Ohio, Kentucky, and Tennessee in March—highlighted by his March 11 Tri-State tour touting TrumpRx prescription drug reforms and boosting a GOP primary challenger to Rep. Thomas Massie. Frequent Florida trips from Mar-a-Lago and nearby Delaware dignified transfers further anchor expectations, with spring primaries and intensifying campaign schedules poised to prompt more announcements through November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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