**The Trump administration's aggressive industrial policy features direct equity stakes in strategic private companies to secure domestic supply chains in semiconductors, critical minerals, and defense technologies, with existing holdings in Intel, MP Materials, U.S. Steel, and rare earth miners totaling over a dozen deals since mid-2025.** Recent congressional scrutiny intensified on March 19 when Rep. Lofgren questioned a proposed stake in USA Rare Earth amid Pentagon investments exceeding $2.3 billion in critical minerals since January. No new stakes announced for high-profile targets like Boeing, TSMC, or AI firms such as OpenAI and Palantir in the past 30 days, though Palantir secured a major Pentagon AI contract on March 20. Traders monitor Defense Department funding via the Office of Strategic Capital, FY2026 NDAA votes, and China trade tensions for catalysts before the December 31, 2026 resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$56,075 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Anduril
23%
Boeing
38%
TSMC
18%
OpenAI
25%
Palantir
36%
Nvidia
11%
GlobalFoundries
23%
Lockheed Martin
38%
TikTok US / Bytedance
24%
Freeport-McMoRan
27%
IonQ
31%
Micron
20%
D-Wave
31%
Anthropic
16%
Rigetti
14%
Eli Lilly
27%
Pfizer
31%
Samsung Electronics
18%
$56,075 Vol.
Anduril
$38,881 Vol.
23%
Boeing
$0 Vol.
38%
TSMC
$0 Vol.
18%
OpenAI
$0 Vol.
25%
Palantir
$0 Vol.
36%
Nvidia
$8,590 Vol.
11%
GlobalFoundries
$586 Vol.
23%
Lockheed Martin
$0 Vol.
38%
TikTok US / Bytedance
$278 Vol.
24%
Freeport-McMoRan
$0 Vol.
27%
IonQ
$0 Vol.
31%
Micron
$0 Vol.
20%
D-Wave
$0 Vol.
31%
Anthropic
$558 Vol.
16%
Rigetti
$0 Vol.
14%
Eli Lilly
$0 Vol.
27%
Pfizer
$0 Vol.
31%
Samsung Electronics
$7,182 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.**The Trump administration's aggressive industrial policy features direct equity stakes in strategic private companies to secure domestic supply chains in semiconductors, critical minerals, and defense technologies, with existing holdings in Intel, MP Materials, U.S. Steel, and rare earth miners totaling over a dozen deals since mid-2025.** Recent congressional scrutiny intensified on March 19 when Rep. Lofgren questioned a proposed stake in USA Rare Earth amid Pentagon investments exceeding $2.3 billion in critical minerals since January. No new stakes announced for high-profile targets like Boeing, TSMC, or AI firms such as OpenAI and Palantir in the past 30 days, though Palantir secured a major Pentagon AI contract on March 20. Traders monitor Defense Department funding via the Office of Strategic Capital, FY2026 NDAA votes, and China trade tensions for catalysts before the December 31, 2026 resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
Volume
$56,075Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.**The Trump administration's aggressive industrial policy features direct equity stakes in strategic private companies to secure domestic supply chains in semiconductors, critical minerals, and defense technologies, with existing holdings in Intel, MP Materials, U.S. Steel, and rare earth miners totaling over a dozen deals since mid-2025.** Recent congressional scrutiny intensified on March 19 when Rep. Lofgren questioned a proposed stake in USA Rare Earth amid Pentagon investments exceeding $2.3 billion in critical minerals since January. No new stakes announced for high-profile targets like Boeing, TSMC, or AI firms such as OpenAI and Palantir in the past 30 days, though Palantir secured a major Pentagon AI contract on March 20. Traders monitor Defense Department funding via the Office of Strategic Capital, FY2026 NDAA votes, and China trade tensions for catalysts before the December 31, 2026 resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$56,075Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**The Trump administration's aggressive industrial policy features direct equity stakes in strategic private companies to secure domestic supply chains in semiconductors, critical minerals, and defense technologies, with existing holdings in Intel, MP Materials, U.S. Steel, and rare earth miners totaling over a dozen deals since mid-2025.** Recent congressional scrutiny intensified on March 19 when Rep. Lofgren questioned a proposed stake in USA Rare Earth amid Pentagon investments exceeding $2.3 billion in critical minerals since January. No new stakes announced for high-profile targets like Boeing, TSMC, or AI firms such as OpenAI and Palantir in the past 30 days, though Palantir secured a major Pentagon AI contract on March 20. Traders monitor Defense Department funding via the Office of Strategic Capital, FY2026 NDAA votes, and China trade tensions for catalysts before the December 31, 2026 resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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