Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 78.5%, reflecting persistent diplomatic stalemate and lack of agreed neutral venue amid ongoing military escalation in Ukraine. Recent U.S.-mediated talks in Geneva on February 17-18, 2026, involved only delegations from Ukraine and Russia, producing no breakthrough or escalation to leaders' level despite Zelenskyy's conditional readiness expressed in late January for discussions on territories and the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant—met by Russia's Moscow invitation. Continued Kremlin insistence on prior concessions, alongside no ceasefire, reinforces barriers. Lower probabilities for Qatar/UAE (3.1%) and U.S. (2.6%) stem from their prior mediation roles and Trump-era summit pushes that yielded no direct encounter, while Turkey and Hungary trail on historical Istanbul talks and Orban's shuttle diplomacy.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourPas de rencontre avant 2027 79%
Qatar / Émirats arabes unis 3.1%
États-Unis 2.6%
Hongrie 2.1%
$1,741,144 Vol.
$1,741,144 Vol.

Pas de rencontre avant 2027
79%

Qatar / Émirats arabes unis
3%

États-Unis
3%

Hongrie
2%

Turquie
2%

Arabie saoudite
2%

Russia
2%

Suisse
2%

China
1%

Biélorussie
1%

Ukraine
1%

Inde
1%

Italie / Vatican
1%

Kazakhstan
1%
Pas de rencontre avant 2027 79%
Qatar / Émirats arabes unis 3.1%
États-Unis 2.6%
Hongrie 2.1%
$1,741,144 Vol.
$1,741,144 Vol.

Pas de rencontre avant 2027
79%

Qatar / Émirats arabes unis
3%

États-Unis
3%

Hongrie
2%

Turquie
2%

Arabie saoudite
2%

Russia
2%

Suisse
2%

China
1%

Biélorussie
1%

Ukraine
1%

Inde
1%

Italie / Vatican
1%

Kazakhstan
1%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Nov 6, 2025, 10:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 78.5%, reflecting persistent diplomatic stalemate and lack of agreed neutral venue amid ongoing military escalation in Ukraine. Recent U.S.-mediated talks in Geneva on February 17-18, 2026, involved only delegations from Ukraine and Russia, producing no breakthrough or escalation to leaders' level despite Zelenskyy's conditional readiness expressed in late January for discussions on territories and the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant—met by Russia's Moscow invitation. Continued Kremlin insistence on prior concessions, alongside no ceasefire, reinforces barriers. Lower probabilities for Qatar/UAE (3.1%) and U.S. (2.6%) stem from their prior mediation roles and Trump-era summit pushes that yielded no direct encounter, while Turkey and Hungary trail on historical Istanbul talks and Orban's shuttle diplomacy.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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