Incumbent Republican Blake Moore dominates trader sentiment in Utah's 3rd Congressional District House race, with the Republican Party outcome priced at 86.5% implied probability reflecting the district's strong R+12 partisan lean and his 2022 reelection by 33 points. Recent polling, including an October RMG Research survey showing Moore leading Democratic nominee John Wade 56%-31%, reinforces this edge amid high GOP early voting turnout reported last week. No major scandals, fundraising shortfalls for Democrats, or national Democratic momentum have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge the status quo. The November 5 general election remains on track for straightforward Republican retention barring unforeseen late developments like legal issues or a turnout surge.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourUT-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
UT-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Parti républicain
86%
Parti démocrate
15%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Parti républicain
$0 Vol.
86%
Parti démocrate
$0 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Blake Moore dominates trader sentiment in Utah's 3rd Congressional District House race, with the Republican Party outcome priced at 86.5% implied probability reflecting the district's strong R+12 partisan lean and his 2022 reelection by 33 points. Recent polling, including an October RMG Research survey showing Moore leading Democratic nominee John Wade 56%-31%, reinforces this edge amid high GOP early voting turnout reported last week. No major scandals, fundraising shortfalls for Democrats, or national Democratic momentum have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge the status quo. The November 5 general election remains on track for straightforward Republican retention barring unforeseen late developments like legal issues or a turnout surge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 4, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Blake Moore dominates trader sentiment in Utah's 3rd Congressional District House race, with the Republican Party outcome priced at 86.5% implied probability reflecting the district's strong R+12 partisan lean and his 2022 reelection by 33 points. Recent polling, including an October RMG Research survey showing Moore leading Democratic nominee John Wade 56%-31%, reinforces this edge amid high GOP early voting turnout reported last week. No major scandals, fundraising shortfalls for Democrats, or national Democratic momentum have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge the status quo. The November 5 general election remains on track for straightforward Republican retention barring unforeseen late developments like legal issues or a turnout surge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 4, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Blake Moore dominates trader sentiment in Utah's 3rd Congressional District House race, with the Republican Party outcome priced at 86.5% implied probability reflecting the district's strong R+12 partisan lean and his 2022 reelection by 33 points. Recent polling, including an October RMG Research survey showing Moore leading Democratic nominee John Wade 56%-31%, reinforces this edge amid high GOP early voting turnout reported last week. No major scandals, fundraising shortfalls for Democrats, or national Democratic momentum have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge the status quo. The November 5 general election remains on track for straightforward Republican retention barring unforeseen late developments like legal issues or a turnout surge.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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