Utah's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the party's 67.5% consensus probability for the November 2026 general election winner, driven by the area's consistent 40-point-plus presidential margins and solid Republican ratings from forecasting outlets. Incumbent Representative Celeste Maloy advanced narrowly from the April 2026 state GOP convention against challenger Phil Lyman, setting up a June 23 primary that adds short-term uncertainty but keeps the seat within Republican hands barring an upset. Democratic nominee Kent Udell, selected at the state convention, faces structural barriers in a district with limited Democratic infrastructure and voter base. Traders price the outcome accordingly, weighing the primary contest against the district's established partisan baseline while noting limited recent developments capable of shifting the balance before the general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourUT-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
UT-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
77%
Parti démocrate
22%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$370 Vol.
77%
Parti démocrate
$70 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the party's 67.5% consensus probability for the November 2026 general election winner, driven by the area's consistent 40-point-plus presidential margins and solid Republican ratings from forecasting outlets. Incumbent Representative Celeste Maloy advanced narrowly from the April 2026 state GOP convention against challenger Phil Lyman, setting up a June 23 primary that adds short-term uncertainty but keeps the seat within Republican hands barring an upset. Democratic nominee Kent Udell, selected at the state convention, faces structural barriers in a district with limited Democratic infrastructure and voter base. Traders price the outcome accordingly, weighing the primary contest against the district's established partisan baseline while noting limited recent developments capable of shifting the balance before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$440Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the party's 67.5% consensus probability for the November 2026 general election winner, driven by the area's consistent 40-point-plus presidential margins and solid Republican ratings from forecasting outlets. Incumbent Representative Celeste Maloy advanced narrowly from the April 2026 state GOP convention against challenger Phil Lyman, setting up a June 23 primary that adds short-term uncertainty but keeps the seat within Republican hands barring an upset. Democratic nominee Kent Udell, selected at the state convention, faces structural barriers in a district with limited Democratic infrastructure and voter base. Traders price the outcome accordingly, weighing the primary contest against the district's established partisan baseline while noting limited recent developments capable of shifting the balance before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$440Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the party's 67.5% consensus probability for the November 2026 general election winner, driven by the area's consistent 40-point-plus presidential margins and solid Republican ratings from forecasting outlets. Incumbent Representative Celeste Maloy advanced narrowly from the April 2026 state GOP convention against challenger Phil Lyman, setting up a June 23 primary that adds short-term uncertainty but keeps the seat within Republican hands barring an upset. Democratic nominee Kent Udell, selected at the state convention, faces structural barriers in a district with limited Democratic infrastructure and voter base. Traders price the outcome accordingly, weighing the primary contest against the district's established partisan baseline while noting limited recent developments capable of shifting the balance before the general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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